2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election

2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election

November 3, 2026
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Henry McMaster
Republican



The 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of South Carolina. The primary elections will take place on June 9, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on June 23.[1] Incumbent governor Henry McMaster is term-limited and cannot seek a third full consecutive term. He took office on January 24, 2017, upon the resignation of fellow Republican Nikki Haley to become ambassador to the United Nations under the first Trump administration. He was re-elected to full terms in 2018 and 2022.

Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Carolina since Jim Hodges was elected in 1998.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Pamela Evette
Executive branch officials
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party officials
Individuals
Josh Kimbrell
State legislators
Ralph Norman
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
State legislators
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Pamela
Evette
Nancy
Mace
Ralph
Norman
Alan
Wilson
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
RealClearPolitics[31] October 2, 2025 – March 13, 2026 March 18, 2026 18.8% 19.5% 9.3% 17.3% 35.1%[b] Mace +0.7%
Race to the WH[32] through March 13, 2026 March 18, 2025 17.6% 20.6% 10.7% 19.8% 31.3%[c] Mace +0.8%
Decision Desk HQ[33] through March 13, 2025 March 18, 2025 17.2% 21.7% 9.6% 18.3% 33.2% Mace +3.4%
Average 17.9% 20.6% 9.9% 18.5% 33.1% Mace +2.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Pamela
Evette
Josh
Kimbrell
Nancy
Mace
Ralph
Norman
Alan
Wilson
Other Undecided
co/efficient (R)[34] March 12–13, 2026 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 21% 1% 22% 8% 19% 29%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[35][A] March 9–11, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 24% 14% 18% 29%
Quantus Insights (R)[36] March 10–11, 2026 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 16%[e] 3% 22% 11% 22% 26%
13% 2% 19% 9% 18% 39%
National Public Affairs (R)[37][B] February 2–5, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 16% 2% 17% 12% 23% 30%
Targoz Market Research/
South Carolina Policy Council[38]
January 24 – February 1, 2026 540 (LV) 12% 4% 18% 11% 12% 43%
Trafalgar Group (R)[39] January 15–16, 2026 1,076 (LV) ± 2.9% 22% 2% 17% 10% 20% 29%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[40][A] January 7–9, 2026 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 14% 23% 11% 19% 32%
Wick[41][C] December 16–19, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 17% 2% 13% 13% 23% 33%
Wick[42] November 24–26, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 2% 11% 12% 22% 38%
Winthrop University[43] October 2–19, 2025 1,331 (RV) ± 3.9% 16% 3% 17% 8% 8% 1%[f] 47%
Quantus Insights (R)[44][D] October 1–4, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.2% 17% 5% 16% 11% 16% 35%
22%[e] 6% 20% 13% 23% 16%
Trafalgar Group (R)[45] September 30 – October 2, 2025 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 20% 1% 16% 9% 12% 41%
co/efficient (R)[46] September 18–19, 2025 1,094 (LV) ± 3.2% 18% 2% 19% 10% 16% 35%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[47][E] August 11–12, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 3% 25% 10% 17% 38%
7%[e] 4% 30% 12% 21% 26%
Targoz Market Research/
South Carolina Policy Council[48]
July 21–25, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 8% 3% 16% 6% 15% 52%
yes. every kid. (D)[49] July 18–21, 2025 406 (LV) ± 4.86% 9% 3% 19% 8% 20% 2% 37%
First Tuesday Strategies (R)[50] March 19–21, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 2% 16% 6% 21% 1%[g] 47%
Trafalgar Group (R)[51] March 8–10, 2025 1,127 (LV) ± 2.9% 31% 29% 11% 27% 2%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Justin Bennett[52]
  • Jermaine Johnson, state representative from the 80th district[h] (2020–present)[53]
  • William Mullins McLeod Jr., trial attorney and candidate for governor in 2010[54]

Declined

Endorsements

Jermaine Johnson
State legislators
Labor unions
Mullins McLeod
State legislators


Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Jermaine
Johnson
Mullins
McLeod
Undecided
Targoz Market Research/
South Carolina Policy Council[38]
January 24 – February 1, 2026 348 (LV) 25% 8% 67%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[59] Solid R September 11, 2025
Inside Elections[60] Solid R August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61] Safe R September 4, 2025
Race to the WH[62] Likely R January 28, 2026

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Kimbrell at 2.3%
  3. ^ Kimbrell at 2.3%, Bennett at 1.2%
  4. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^ "Prefer not to say" with 1%
  7. ^ Sean Bennett with 1%
  8. ^ Multiple districts; 52nd district since 2024

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Mace's campaign and conducted by a former Mace campaign advisor
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Wilson's campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Palmetto Promise Institute
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Mace's campaign

References

  1. ^ "2026 State Primary Election Dates". NCSL. May 9, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  2. ^ Bustos, Joseph (July 14, 2025). "Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette joins race for South Carolina governor. 5 things to know". The State. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  3. ^ Moore, Stephanie (June 23, 2025). "Sen. Josh Kimbrell announces run for SC governor". WYFF. Retrieved June 23, 2025.
  4. ^ Goba, Kadia (August 4, 2025). "Rep. Nancy Mace, Trump critic-turned-ally, to run for South Carolina governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  5. ^ Ashford, Adrian (March 16, 2026). "Isle of Palms millionaire Rom Reddy joins GOP primary for governor". South Carolina Daily Gazette. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  6. ^ Kinnard, Meg (July 25, 2025). "Rep. Ralph Norman, among House's most conservative, set to enter South Carolina governor's race". Associated Press. Retrieved July 25, 2025.
  7. ^ Kinnard, Meg (June 23, 2025). "Alan Wilson, South Carolina's four-term Republican attorney general, enters 2026 governor's race". Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2025.
  8. ^ Renaud, Tim (January 9, 2026). "Wilson taps SC Sen. Mike Reichenbach as running mate in bid for governor". WCBD. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
  9. ^ Isenstadt, Alex; Nichols, Hans (February 13, 2026). "South Carolina's Mark Sanford eyes a comeback". Axios. Retrieved February 13, 2026.
  10. ^ Chornobroff, Shaun (February 11, 2025). "Former SC treasurer and reality TV star ends bid for governor, days after announcement". South Carolina Daily Gazette. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  11. ^ Scott, Tyler (March 17, 2026). "Former US Deputy Secretary of Education endorses SC Lt Gov Evette for governor". Fox Carolina. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  12. ^ "McMaster backs Evette to replace him as South Carolina governor. Is Trump's endorsement next?". King5. February 11, 2026. Retrieved February 12, 2026.
  13. ^ "Mace wants Trump to force mass layoffs to motivate Democrats on spending plan". The Greenville News. Retrieved December 1, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  14. ^ Carpentier, Bella (September 24, 2025). "SC Rep. Bruce Bannister endorses Pamela Evette for South Carolina governor". The Greenville News. Retrieved September 26, 2025.
  15. ^ a b c d e Brown, Andrew (October 29, 2025). "Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette lands major endorsements in Horry County". MyHorryNews.com. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
  16. ^ Deanne, Emily (November 19, 2025). "Rep. Gatch backs Evette, stressing shared goals on transparency and business policies". WCIV. Retrieved December 1, 2025.
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  20. ^ a b c Atkinson, Macon (July 27, 2025). "Nikki Haley and Jim DeMint endorse Ralph Norman for SC governor as he launches campaign in Rock Hill". The Post and Courier. Retrieved July 28, 2025.
  21. ^ O'Neill, Nora (August 1, 2025). "SC senator announces run for Ralph Norman's 5th District seat in Congress". Rock Hill Herald. Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  22. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  23. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  24. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  25. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  26. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  27. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  28. ^ https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/03/17/seven-attorneys-general-endorse-sc-ag-alan-wilson-governor/
  29. ^ Dorsch, Eric (July 22, 2025). "Alan Wilson endorsed for Governor by 22 Republican sheriffs". WSAV-TV. Retrieved July 29, 2025.
  30. ^ "Former Upstate university president endorses Alan Wilson for governor". FOX Carolina News. February 19, 2026. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
  31. ^ "2026 South Carolina Governor – Republican Primary | RealClearPolling". RCP. Retrieved November 18, 2025.
  32. ^ "Latest Polling for Governor Races – 2025-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved November 18, 2025.
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  52. ^ Johnson, Connor (March 4, 2026). "A midterm elections preview: What is the impact on Clemson students?". The Tiger. Retrieved March 17, 2026. In the Democratic primary, three candidates are running for the nomination: Justin Bennett, State House Rep. Jermaine Johnson and Mullins McLeod.
  53. ^ Bustos, Joseph (October 28, 2025). "'I'm not a sacrificial lamb.' Jermaine Johnson launches his bid for SC governor". The State. Retrieved October 28, 2025.
  54. ^ Reynolds, Nick (August 11, 2025). "With little publicity, Charleston attorney Mullins McLeod enters Democratic race for governor". The Post and Courier. Retrieved August 11, 2025.
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Official campaign websites