2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election

2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election

November 2, 2010
Turnout69.78% Registered 3.82%
38.17% of Total Population 1.04%
 
Nominee Matt Mead Leslie Petersen Taylor Haynes
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 123,780 43,240 13,796
Percentage 65.68% 22.94% 7.32%

County results
Mead:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Dave Freudenthal
Democratic

Elected Governor

Matt Mead
Republican

The 2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Wyoming. Party primaries were held on August 17.

While it was initially thought that term limits would prevent incumbent Democratic governor Dave Freudenthal from running for re-election, the constitutionality of the term limit law has been questioned, leaving the possibility that if Freudenthal had successfully challenged the law, he might have been able to run for a third term.[1] On March 4, 2010, Freudenthal announced he would not run for a third term.[2]

Republican Matt Mead flipped every county from Democratic to Republican as he won by getting around two-thirds of the votes polled.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Leslie
Petersen
Pete
Gosar
Al
Hamburg
Chris
Zachary
Rex
Wilde
Undecided
WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research[7] July 26–29, 2010 34% 9% 5% 1% 4% 39%
Casper Star Tribune[8] July 26–28, 2010 30% 22% 2% 1% <1% 45%

Results

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Leslie Petersen 10,785 47.2
Democratic Pete Gosar 8,409 36.8
Democratic Chris Zachary 1,139 5.0
Democratic Al Hamburg 1,092 4.8
Democratic Rex Wilde 1,042 4.6
Democratic write-ins 384 1.7
Total votes 22,851 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Rita
Meyer
Matt
Mead
Colin
Simpson
Ron
Micheli
Alan
Kousoulos
Undecided
WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research[7] July 26–29, 2010 23% 18% 10% 20% 1% 25%
Casper Star-Tribune[10] July 26–28, 2010 27% 24% 17% 12% 2% 18%

Results

Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Mead 30,308 28.7
Republican Rita Meyer 29,605 28.0
Republican Ron Micheli 27,630 26.1
Republican Colin Simpson 16,722 15.8
Republican Alan Kousoulos 566 0.5
Republican Tom Ubben 432 0.4
Republican John Self 295 0.3
Republican write-ins 202 0.2
Total votes 105,760 100

General election

Candidates

  • Matt Mead (R)
  • Leslie Peterson (D)
  • Mike Wheeler (L)
  • Taylor Haynes (Write-in)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[11] Safe R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[12] Safe R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[13] Safe R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[15] Safe R (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Matt
Mead (R)
Leslie
Petersen (D)
Rasmussen Reports[16] September 30, 2010 61% 25%
Rasmussen Reports[17] August 18, 2010 58% 24%
Rasmussen Reports[18] June 22, 2010 49% 22%

Results

Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Matt Mead 123,780 65.68% +35.67%
Democratic Leslie Petersen 43,240 22.94% −47.05%
Independent Taylor Haynes 13,796 7.32%
Libertarian Mike Wheeler 5,362 2.85%
Write-in 2,285 1.21%
Majority 80,540 42.74% +2.75%
Turnout 190,822
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

By county

County Matt Mead
Republican
Leslie Petersen
Democratic
Taylor Haynes
Write-in
All Others Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # %
Albany 6,374 55.6% 4,352 38.0% 309 2.7% 420 3.7% 2,022 17.6% 11,455
Big Horn 3,217 74.0% 613 14.1% 394 9.1% 124 2.9% 2,704 59.9% 4,348
Campbell 6,934 61.5% 1,179 10.5% 2,930 26.0% 231 2.0% 4,004 35.5% 11,274
Carbon 3,585 69.0% 1,308 25.2% 107 2.1% 196 3.8% 2,277 43.8% 5,196
Converse 3,202 64.8% 761 15.4% 827 16.7% 152 3.0% 2,375 48.1% 4,942
Crook 2,048 65.3% 388 12.4% 608 19.4% 93 3.0% 1,440 45.9% 3,137
Fremont 8,439 61.9% 3,323 24.4% 1,301 9.5% 575 4.2% 5,116 37.5% 13,638
Goshen 3,493 71.7% 893 18.3% 309 6.3% 176 3.6% 2,600 53.4% 4,871
Hot Springs 1,596 71.9% 401 18.1% 141 6.4% 82 3.7% 1,195 53.8% 2,220
Johnson 2,804 73.8% 578 15.2% 301 7.9% 114 3.0% 2,226 58.6% 3,797
Laramie 19,323 64.7% 7,507 25.1% 819 2.7% 2,235 7.5% 11,816 39.6% 29,884
Lincoln 4,710 71.6% 1,023 15.5% 592 9.0% 257 3.9% 3,687 56.1% 6,582
Natrona 15,077 65.2% 5,761 24.9% 1,470 6.4% 829 3.6% 9,316 40.3% 23,137
Niobrara 753 65.4% 124 10.8% 243 21.1% 32 2.8% 510 44.3% 1,152
Park 8,312 72.4% 1,813 15.8% 955 8.3% 398 3.4% 6,499 56.6% 11,478
Platte 2,303 60.2% 905 23.6% 500 13.1% 119 3.1% 1,398 36.6% 3,827
Sheridan 7,632 71.4% 2,336 21.9% 426 4.0% 290 2.7% 5,296 49.5% 10,684
Sublette 2,465 71.4% 554 16.1% 335 9.7% 97 2.8% 1,911 55.3% 3,451
Sweetwater 8,218 65.5% 3,532 28.1% 305 2.4% 495 3.9% 4,686 37.4% 12,550
Teton 4,407 51.6% 3,856 45.1% 78 0.9% 207 2.4% 551 6.5% 8,548
Uinta 4,462 73.7% 1,075 17.8% 221 3.7% 295 4.9% 3,387 55.9% 6,053
Washakie 2,574 75.4% 597 17.5% 135 4.0% 109 3.2% 1,977 57.9% 3,415
Weston 1,852 65.6% 361 12.8% 490 17.4% 121 4.3% 1,362 48.2% 2,824
Totals 123,780 65.7% 43,240 22.9% 13,796 7.3% 7,647 4.0% 80,540 42.8% 188,463

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • All 23

References

  1. ^ Chris Cillizza And Ben Pershing (February 16, 2009). "Will Wyoming's Governor Buck Term Limits?". The Washington Post.
  2. ^ "US News - Mar 04, 2010 - Wyoming Gov. Freudenthal won't seek third term". RealClearPolitics. March 4, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ^ "Gosar campaign site". gosar4gov.com. Archived from the original on July 27, 2010. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  4. ^ "Leslie Petersen Biography". People for Petersen. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ^ Erika Lovely (October 8, 2009). "Wyoming governor Dave Freudenthal to seek third term?". Politico. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
  6. ^ Pelzer, Jeremy. "Massie running for superintendent of public instruction, not governor". trib.com. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  7. ^ a b WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research
  8. ^ Casper Star Tribune
  9. ^ a b "Wyoming Gubernatorial Primary Results". WY SOS. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 22, 2010.
  10. ^ Casper Star-Tribune
  11. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  17. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  18. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  19. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary, Wyoming General Election - November 2, 2010" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State.

Official campaign sites (Archived)