2006 United States Senate election in Wyoming

2006 United States Senate election in Wyoming

November 7, 2006
 
Nominee Craig L. Thomas Dale Groutage
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 135,174 57,761
Percentage 69.99% 29.86%

Thomas:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Groutage:      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Craig L. Thomas
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Craig L. Thomas
Republican

The 2006 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held November 7, 2006, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Primary elections were held on August 22, 2006, in which incumbent Republican U.S. Senator and Democrat Dale Groutage won unopposed.

Incumbent U.S. Senator Thomas won re-election to a third term but died of leukemia on June 4, 2007.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Dale Groutage, engineer

Results

Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dale Groutage 24,924 100.00
Total votes 24,924 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Craig Thomas (incumbent) 78,211 100.00
Total votes 78,211 100.00

Background

In 2006, Thomas maintained 68% favorability and was largely expected to win reelection due to Wyoming's red lean at the federal level.[3]

General election

Candidates

  • Dale Groutage (D), engineer
  • Craig Thomas (R), incumbent U.S. Senator

Campaign

Despite Thomas's significant lead in the polls, Thomas agreed to a debate. An October debate was sponsored by the Casper Star-Tribune and KCWY in Casper. Thomas said the nation has made progress in its energy policy, while Groutage said the nation's energy policy has failed because Congress has done more for special interests than the people.[4]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Solid R November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[7] Safe R November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[8] Safe R November 6, 2006

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Craig
Thomas (R)
Dale
Groutage (D)
Other Undecided
Aspen Media & Market Research[9] October 18–25, 2006

(LV)

± 4.0% 70% 22% 1%[b] 7%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[9] October 9–12, 2006 425 (LV) ± 4.0% 67% 26% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[10] July 6, 2006 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 59% 32% 9%
Rasmussen Reports[11] May 8, 2006 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 64% 25% 11%

Results

General election results[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Craig L. Thomas (incumbent) 135,174 69.99% −3.78%
Democratic Dale Groutage 57,671 29.86% +7.82%
Write-ins 291 0.15%
Majority 77,503 40.13% −11.61%
Turnout 193,136
Republican hold Swing

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Refused with 1%.

See also

References

  1. ^ "Results" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us. Retrieved May 8, 2021.
  2. ^ "Results" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us. Retrieved May 8, 2021.
  3. ^ "WYOMING SURVEY of 500 likely voters". Rasmussen Reports. July 6, 2006. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 13, 2010.
  4. ^ Candidates face off for first time – Wyoming Tribune Eagle Online
  5. ^ "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  6. ^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  7. ^ "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  8. ^ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  9. ^ a b "New poll: Thomas keeps big lead over Groutage". Casper Star Tribune. October 30, 2006. Archived from the original on May 3, 2025. Retrieved February 14, 2026.
  10. ^ "Wyoming: No Party Swap Seen". Rasmussen Reports. July 20, 2006. Archived from the original on August 27, 2006. Retrieved February 14, 2006.
  11. ^ "Wyoming House Seat in Play". Rasmussen Reports. May 8, 2006. Archived from the original on May 18, 2006. Retrieved February 14, 2006.
  12. ^ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved May 8, 2021.

Official campaign websites (archived)