2026 Castilian-Leonese regional election
15 March 2026
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All 82 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León 42 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 2,097,768[1] 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,251,408 (59.7%)[a] 0.9 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Votes counted | as of 15 March - 23:39 CET | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A regional election was held in Castile and León on Sunday, 15 March 2026, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 82 seats in the Cortes were up for election.
In the aftermath of the previous election held in 2022, the People's Party (PP) under Alfonso Fernández Mañueco reached a coalition agreement with the far-right Vox party, the first up until that point, and which would be mirrored in other regions and city councils following the 2023 local and regional elections. All PP–Vox regional coalitions collapsed in July 2024 over a strategic movement from the latter's national leadership, with Mañueco leading a minority government from that point onwards. The leader of the opposition Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Luis Tudanca, was replaced in his post by Soria mayor Carlos Martínez in January 2025, while Vox's regional leader and former regional vice president, Juan García-Gallardo, resigned from his posts in February 2025, citing disagreements with the party's national leadership.
Population decline and ageing and the regional government's management of the August 2025 Spanish wildfires were seen as key themes going into the election, as well as the PP's uninterrupted 39-year period in power in the region. Also featuring in the campaign was the outset of the 2026 Iran war, which saw the prime minister of Spain, Pedro Sánchez, champion a "no to war" position centered around de-escalation, respect for international law and a rejection to the United States's use of joint military bases at Rota and Morón to carry out attacks on Iran; this led to a direct clash with U.S. President Donald Trump, with the latter's threatening to sever Spain–U.S. trade relations. The campaign ended with PP and Vox openly clashing over the right-wing vote, with the latter refusing to cast itself as a junior partner to a prospective PP government while suffering from a series of internal purges of high-profile members.[2][3]
The election resulted in a new victory for Mañueco's PP, which fell short of an overall majority to govern alone and remained dependant on Vox's support.[4] Conversely, the PSOE under Martínez saw an unexpected growth in votes and seats—reversing a negative trend that saw it collect adverse outcomes in Extremadura and Aragon—a result which was attributed to Martínez's profile and a last-hour mobilization of left-wing voters due to the party's anti-war stance.[5][6][7] Vox made modest gains, but underperformed expectations of overcoming 20 percent of the vote, which media attributed to the party's internal conflicts, its stance to block government negotiations in Extremadura and Aragon, and its explicit support to Trump's actions in the Middle East.[3][8] Parties to the left of the PSOE, United Left and Podemos, fell below expectations and failed to secure the single seat elected under the Unidas Podemos alliance in the 2022 election, whereas the liberal Citizens was left out from parliament.[9][10]
Background
As a result of the 2022 regional election, the People's Party (PP) under Alfonso Fernández Mañueco formed a coalition government with the far-right Vox party under Juan García-Gallardo, the first of its kind at the regional level in Spain.[11][12]
In January 2023, as part of their coalition agreement including pro-natalist initiatives to combat the region's population decline and ageing, the regional government announced a plan that required health professionals to offer pregnant women seeking abortion the opportunity to listen to the fetal heartbeat, 4D ultrasound scans, and psychological counseling.[13][14] The political backlash—which saw the Spanish government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez threatening to appeal the issue to the Constitutional Court of Spain[15]—forced Mañueco to partially drop the plan and announce that its measures would not be actively offered by doctors, but rather made available to women upon request.[16][17][18] Despite risking breaking up the coalition over the issue, the PP rejected subsequent Vox's attempts to revive this anti-abortion plan, regarding them controversial.[19]
The PP–Vox coalition was terminated in July 2024 when Vox's national leader, Santiago Abascal, forced the break up of all their regional governments over a controversy regarding the nationwide distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities.[20][21][22] Culture minister Gonzalo Santonja refused to quit the government and left Vox, whereas the industry and agriculture ministers, Mariano Veganzones and Gerardo Dueñas respectively, were removed despite having voiced their will to stay on.[23][24] In February 2025, García-Gallardo resigned from his posts, citing disagreements with Vox's national leadership.[25]
The regional government came under criticism for the delay in the activation and deployment of firefighting teams during the summer 2022 wildfires, which saw over 60,000 ha burning in the Sierra de la Culebra.[26][27] Then during the August 2025 Spanish wildfires, which affected the provinces of León (particularly the Las Médulas historic gold-mining site) and Zamora the most, the regional PP administration was again criticized over the deficiency of fire prevention systems, the paralysis of fire control resources and a slow response capacity,[28][29][30] as well as for a crisis management that saw it attempting to deflect the blame on the national government under Prime Minister Sánchez (despite both forest and fire management being a regional responsibility).[31][32]
The opposition Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) saw a leadership change in January 2025, when long-standing leader Luis Tudanca was replaced by Soria mayor since 2007, Carlos Martínez.[33][34] Tudanca's growing divergences with the national PSOE (which saw his resistance to the modification of the regional candidate lists ahead of the 2023 general election,[35] as well as his critical position on the regional financing policy of Sánchez's government),[36] ultimately led to an open clash with the national party leadership in the autumn of 2024, as Tudanca sought to call regional primaries ahead of the federal party congress to secure himself in the post.[37] The national party cancelled the primaries regarding them as anti-statutory,[38][39] prompting Tudanca to renounce standing for re-election.[40][41]
Overview
Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Castile and León were the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[42]
Electoral system
Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[43][44][45] Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" voting system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[46] The begged vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[47]
The Cortes of Castile and León were entitled to three seats per each multi-member constituency—corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora—plus one additional seat per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500. All members were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each constituency.[43][48] The use of the electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[49]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[50]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 15 | Valladolid |
| 13 | León |
| 11 | Burgos |
| 10 | Salamanca |
| 7 | Ávila, Palencia, Segovia(+1), Zamora |
| 5 | Soria |
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.[51][52]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the scheduled date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.[43][53][54] The previous election was held on 13 February 2022, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 13 February 2026. The election decree was required to be published in the BOCYL no later than 20 January 2026, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 15 March 2026.[55][56]
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution.[53][57] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[58]
In January 2023, it was commented that President Mañueco could try to reset the electoral cycle to make it coincide with the 2023 Spanish local elections on 28 May that year,[59][60] this was ruled out by Mañueco himself.[61] Further speculation surfaced with the advancement of the 2023 Spanish general election to 23 July,[62] but the regional government ultimately rejected it.[63] In late 2024, it emerged that Mañueco was considering to call a snap election in the event of being unable to get his 2025 budget passed through parliament—following Vox's decision to exit the cabinet earlier that year[64]—but this was again rejected in December 2024,[65] as well as another round of speculation following a party crisis in Vox that saw the resignation of García-Gallardo as regional leader in February 2025.[66] On 16 September 2025, the regional government confirmed that the election would most likely be held on 15 March 2026—the latest possible date in which it could legally be held—except in the event of a snap general election being called earlier, in which case both would be held concurrently.[67][68][69] After the confirmation on 27 October 2025 of a snap regional election in Extremadura for 21 December, Mañueco ruled out a concurrent electoral call and insisted that his plan was still to hold the Castilian-Leonese election in March 2026.[70][71] 15 March was confirmed as the election date on 14 January 2026, a few days before the scheduled dissolution of parliament.[72][73]
The Cortes of Castile and León were officially dissolved on 20 January 2026 with the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOCYL, setting election day for 15 March and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 14 April.[50]
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[74][75]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 31 | 31 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 28 | 28 | ||
| Vox Castile and León Parliamentary Group | Vox | 11 | 11 | ||
| Leonese People's Union– Soria Now! Group |
UPL | 3 | 6 | ||
| SY | 3 | ||||
| Mixed Group | Podemos | 1 | 3 | ||
| XAV | 1 | ||||
| IzqEsp | 1[c] | ||||
| Non-Inscrits | INDEP | 2[d] | 2 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[78][79] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[80]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
Timetable
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[94]
- 19 January: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the president, after deliberation in the Regional Government.[50]
- 20 January: Formal dissolution of parliament and start of prohibition period on the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
- 23 January: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions with judicial members.
- 26 January: Division of constituencies into polling sections and stations.
- 30 January: Deadline for parties and federations to report on their electoral alliances.
- 2 February: Deadline for electoral register consultation for the purpose of possible corrections.
- 9 February: Deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to present electoral lists.
- 11 February: Publication of submitted electoral lists in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL); deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to communicate their presidential candidates for the purpose of electoral debates.
- 16 February: Official proclamation of validly submitted electoral lists.
- 17 February: Publication of proclaimed electoral lists in the BOCYL.
- 18 February: Deadline for the selection of polling station members by sortition.
- 26 February: Deadline for the appointment of non-judicial members to provincial and zone electoral commissions.
- 27 February: Official start of electoral campaigning.[50]
- 5 March: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
- 10 March: Start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication; deadline for non-resident citizens (electors residing abroad (CERA) and citizens temporarily absent from Spain) to vote by mail.
- 11 March: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voting.
- 12 March: Deadline for CERA voting.
- 13 March: Last day of electoral campaigning.[50]
- 14 March: Official election silence ("reflection day").
- 15 March: Election day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote); provisional vote counting.
- 20 March: Start of general vote counting, including CERA votes.
- 23 March: Deadline for the general vote counting.
- 1 April: Deadline for the proclamation of elected members.
- 14 April: Deadline for the reconvening of parliament (date determined by the election decree, which for the 2026 election was set for 14 April).[50][53]
- 11 May: Deadline for the publication of definitive election results in the BOCYL.
Campaign
Party slogans
| Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | « Aquí, certezas » | "Here, certainties" | [95] | |
| PSOE | « Cambiemos el futuro » | "Let's change the future" | [96] | |
| Vox | « Sentido común » | "Common sense" | [96] | |
| UPL | « Defiende lo tuyo » | "Defend what is yours" | [96] | |
| SY | « Por Soria, rebélate » | "For Soria, rebel!" | [96] | |
| Podemos–AV | « La fuerza de la valentía » | "The power of courage" | [96] | |
| IU–MS–VQ | « Defender lo común » | "Defend what is common" | [96] | |
| XAV | « Ávila merece más » | "Ávila deserves more" | [96] | |
Events and issues
The outbreak of the 2026 Iran war saw Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez openly reject both the unilateral military action of the United States and Israel and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's attacks against other Middle East countries, calling for immediate de-escalation and respect for international law and denying the U.S. the use of joint military bases at Rota and Morón to carry out attacks on Iran.[97][98] This resulted in a direct clash with President Donald Trump, who threatened Spain with severing trade relations and a possible embargo.[99][100] Sánchez responded by doubling down on his "no to war" position,[101][102][103] reminding how the unpopular Spanish intervention in the 2003 invasion of Iraq led to the 11M bombings,[104][105][106] while the opposition PP and Vox initially aligned themselves with the U.S. and Israel intervention.[107][108][109] With the war and Trump himself being broadly unpopular among Spanish voters,[110][111] various media outlets drew comparisons with Canada in 2025 (over the United States–Canada trade war) and commented on whether Sánchez's stance—with him emerging internationally as the main EU critic to Trump's presidency[112][113][114]—could trigger a rally 'round the flag effect at home.[115][116][117][118] As a result, this issue featured during the election campaign.[119][120][121]
Election debates
The electoral law of Castile and León provided for the presidential candidates of the parties having a parliamentary group in the Cortes to participate in, at least, two leaders' debates to be held during the electoral campaign.[122] The debates were scheduled to be held on 3 March in RTVE (then moved to 5 March to prevent it from conflicting with the 2025–26 Copa del Rey semi-finals) and 10 March in RTVCyL, with the candidates of the three main parliamentary groups: PP, PSOE and Vox.[123][124] UPL and SY appealed the decision to exclude them from the debates (despite having a parliamentary group of their own) to the Central Electoral Commission.[125]
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[g] S Surrogate[h] NI Not invited I Invited A Absent invitee | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | PSOE | Vox | Audience | Ref. | |||
| 5 March | RTVE | Xabier Fortes | P Mañueco |
P Martínez |
P Pollán |
10.9% (76,000)[i] |
[126] [127] |
| 10 March | CyLTV | María Núñez Antonio Renedo |
P Mañueco |
P Martínez |
P Pollán |
1.8% (12,000) |
[128] [129] |
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 42 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León (41 in the 2022 election).
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 regional election | 15 Mar 2026 | N/a | 59.7 | 35.5 33 |
30.7 30 |
18.9 14 |
0.7 0 |
0.3 0 |
4.4 3 |
0.7 1 |
0.9 1 |
2.2 0 |
[j] | 1.4 0 |
4.8 |
| GAD3[p 1][p 2] | 15 Mar 2026 | ? | ? | ? 33 |
? 28 |
? 17 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
[j] | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 3] | 15 Mar 2026 | ? | ? | 32.9 31/32 |
29.2 26/27 |
20.1 17/18 |
2.0 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3 |
1.4 2 |
1.0 1 |
3.6 1 |
[j] | – | 3.7 |
| PP[p 4] | 14 Mar 2026 | ? | ? | 34.0– 36.0 31/35 |
29.0– 30.0 26/29 |
17.0– 19.0 13/17 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | [j] | – | 5.0– 6.0 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 5] | 13–14 Mar 2026 | 1,000 | ? | 31.5 30/33 |
28.2 24/27 |
20.5 17/19 |
2.1 0 |
? 0 |
5.5 3/4 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 0/1 |
3.8 0/1 |
[j] | 2.4 0 |
3.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 6] | 9–14 Mar 2026 | 2,401 | ? | 33.7 30/32 |
29.8 25/27 |
21.1 17/19 |
2.3 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3/4 |
1.5 2 |
1.2 1 |
3.8 0/1 |
[j] | – | 3.9 |
| Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 7][p 8] | 9 Mar 2026 | 1,100 | ? | 34.1 32 |
27.9 26 |
19.4 17 |
2.7 0 |
0.7 0 |
5.3 4 |
1.0 1 |
0.9 1 |
4.4 1 |
[j] | – | 6.2 |
| Data10/Okdiario[p 9] | 8–9 Mar 2026 | 1,500 | ? | 33.4 31 |
28.5 27 |
20.0 17 |
1.8 0 |
? 0 |
5.4 4 |
1.1 1 |
1.3 1 |
4.2 1 |
[j] | – | 4.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 10] | 8–9 Mar 2026 | 1,500 | ? | 32.0 30/33 |
28.4 25/27 |
20.4 16/19 |
1.9 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3/4 |
1.1 1/2 |
1.0 1 |
4.1 0/1 |
[j] | 2.5 0 |
3.6 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 11] | 15 Feb–8 Mar 2026 | 1,508 | ? | 32.5 31 |
29.6 27 |
20.6 17 |
2.2 0 |
? 0 |
5.0 4 |
0.9 1 |
0.9 1 |
4.1 1 |
[j] | 2.1 0 |
2.9 |
| Target Point/El Debate[p 12] | 4–7 Mar 2026 | 1,129 | ? | 29.2 28/30 |
28.7 26/28 |
21.3 18/20 |
2.3 0 |
? 0 |
5.6 4 |
1.5 2 |
0.8 1 |
4.3 1 |
[j] | – | 0.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 13] | 27 Feb–6 Mar 2026 | 1,000 | 57.3 | 34.5 31/32 |
28.3 26/27 |
19.1 16/17 |
2.3 0 |
? 0 |
5.0 3 |
1.1 2 |
1.0 1 |
4.2 1 |
[j] | – | 6.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 14] | 23 Feb–6 Mar 2026 | 2,360 | ? | 35.8 31/34 |
29.8 26/28 |
19.8 14/17 |
2.9 0 |
? 0 |
4.6 3/4 |
0.9 1/2 |
1.1 1 |
3.8 0/1 |
[j] | – | 6.0 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[p 15] | 2–5 Mar 2026 | 1,000 | ? | 33.2 31 |
28.1 26 |
20.6 18 |
2.6 0 |
0.6 0 |
5.1 4 |
0.9 1 |
0.8 1 |
4.1 1 |
[j] | – | 5.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 16][p 17] | 2–4 Mar 2026 | 1,002 | ? | 34.8 33/34 |
28.6 26/29 |
19.5 16/18 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
5.4 3 |
1.1 1 |
0.6 0 |
? 0 |
[j] | – | 6.2 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 18][p 19] | 27 Feb–4 Mar 2026 | 1,200 | ? | 31.1 28/33 |
28.4 24/26 |
20.8 16/20 |
1.8 0 |
? 0 |
5.7 4 |
1.4 2/3 |
1.2 1 |
3.6 0/1 |
[j] | 2.3 0 |
2.7 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 20][p 21] | 3 Mar 2026 | 802 | 60 | 29.6 29/32 |
27.5 26/29 |
20.0 16/19 |
2.1 0 |
? 0 |
4.5 3 |
1.0 1/2 |
1.3 1 |
4.0 1 |
[j] | – | 2.1 |
| Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 22][p 23] | 20 Feb–3 Mar 2026 | 2,600 | ? | 35.5 32/35 |
29.6 26/28 |
19.7 14/16 |
2.4 0 |
0.2 0 |
4.5 3/4 |
0.8 1 |
0.9 1 |
3.6 0/1 |
[j] | – | 5.9 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 24] | 15 Feb–1 Mar 2026 | 1,191 | ? | 33.3 32 |
29.2 27 |
19.8 16 |
2.6 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3 |
0.9 2 |
0.8 1 |
4.5 1 |
[j] | 2.2 0 |
4.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 25] | 23–27 Feb 2026 | 1,000 | 57.1 | 35.6 32/33 |
27.6 26/27 |
17.9 15/16 |
2.0 0 |
? 0 |
4.9 3 |
1.4 2 |
1.2 1 |
3.8 1 |
[j] | – | 8.0 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 26] | 7–22 Feb 2026 | 1,382 | ? | 33.9 32 |
27.9 27 |
20.0 17 |
2.9 0 |
? 0 |
4.9 3 |
0.9 1 |
0.9 1 |
4.5 1 |
[j] | 2.1 0 |
6.0 |
| SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica[p 27][p 28] | 16–21 Feb 2026 | 7,927 | ? | 33.1 28/31 |
27.1 20/25 |
23.7 19/23 |
3.4 0/1 |
1.7 0 |
4.9 3/4 |
1.4 2/3 |
1.2 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 6.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 29] | 9–19 Feb 2026 | 1,954 | ? | 35.8 32/35 |
29.8 26/28 |
16.8 13/14 |
3.7 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3/4 |
1.2 1/2 |
0.8 0/1 |
4.5 0/1 |
[j] | – | 6.0 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 30] | 1–15 Feb 2026 | 1,244 | ? | 33.4 32 |
27.9 28 |
20.1 16 |
3.9 0 |
? 0 |
4.8 3 |
0.9 1 |
0.9 1 |
4.0 1 |
[j] | 2.0 0 |
5.5 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 31] | 12–14 Feb 2026 | 1,500 | ? | 31.6 30/33 |
27.3 23/26 |
20.8 18/21 |
2.2 0 |
? 0 |
6.3 4/5 |
0.9 1/2 |
1.0 1 |
3.6 0/1 |
[j] | 2.0 0 |
4.3 |
| CIS[p 32][130] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | ? | 33.4 28/38 |
32.3 26/35 |
16.1 11/19 |
3.1 0/1 |
? 0 |
4.9 2/4 |
0.7 0/1 |
0.7 0/1 |
5.1 0/4 |
[j] | 0.8 0 |
1.1 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 33] | 15 Jan–8 Feb 2026 | 1,228 | ? | 38.2 35 |
29.4 27 |
18.5 13 |
4.0 1 |
? 0 |
4.5 3 |
1.0 2 |
0.8 1 |
1.3 0 |
[j] | – | 8.8 |
| SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica[p 34][p 35] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2025 | 7,510 | 64.2 | 32.1 28/34 |
28.1 23/27 |
20.5 14/20 |
4.1 0/2 |
3.3 1 |
4.3 3 |
1.7 3 |
1.2 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 4.0 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 36] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | ? | 36.7 35 |
31.4 27 |
17.1 13 |
4.3 1 |
? 0 |
3.9 3 |
1.0 2 |
? 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 5.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 37] | 26 Sep–9 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | 55.6 | 37.8 35/37 |
29.6 27/29 |
14.4 8/9 |
6.9 2 |
? 0 |
5.0 3 |
1.1 2 |
0.6 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 8.2 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 38] | 28 Jun–28 Jul 2025 | 1,375 | ? | 43.4 41 |
33.9 29 |
10.4 5 |
3.0 1 |
0.6 0 |
2.7 2 |
0.9 2 |
0.8 1 |
[l] | 2.5 0 |
– | 9.5 |
| Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 39] | 27 May–7 Jun 2025 | 2,700 | ? | 36.7 35/38 |
30.1 27/30 |
13.2 8 |
7.9 3/4 |
? 0 |
4.9 3 |
0.9 1/2 |
0.5 0/1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 6.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 40] | 16–31 May 2025 | 450 | ? | ? 39 |
28.6 24 |
? 10 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 4 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 41] | 9–25 Apr 2025 | 1,223 | ? | 36.8 36/38 |
29.2 27/28 |
13.2 8/9 |
7.1 2/3 |
0.3 0 |
3.7 3 |
1.0 1/2 |
0.8 0/1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 7.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 42] | 15–18 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 59.7 | 42.1 41/43 |
29.3 25/27 |
12.7 7/9 |
? 0 |
0.5 0 |
4.6 3/4 |
1.4 2 |
1.0 0/1 |
[l] | 3.3 1 |
– | 12.8 |
| Data10/Okdiario[p 43] | 15–17 Jul 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 42.3 41 |
30.8 26 |
9.3 8 |
3.2 0 |
1.2 0 |
4.4 3 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 11.5 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | N/a | 51.5 | 44.6 (46) |
30.5 (28) |
10.5 (7) |
2.4 (0) |
0.8 (0) |
– | 0.6 (0) |
– | [l] | 2.9 (0) |
4.0 (0) |
14.1 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 44] | 26 Aug–26 Sep 2023 | 1,375 | ? | 40.4 37 |
36.1 32 |
8.6 4 |
6.7 2 |
4.8 1 |
2.7 2 |
1.1 2 |
0.8 1 |
[k] | [k] | – | 4.3 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | N/a | 69.4 | 41.5 (39) |
32.3 (28) |
13.8 (9) |
[l] | – | 1.6 (1) |
0.7 (1) |
0.5 (0) |
[l] | 7.0 (3) |
– | 9.2 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 45] | 14 Dec–17 Jan 2023 | 741 | ? | 35.1 32 |
31.8 32 |
12.0 9 |
5.5 2 |
5.8 1 |
3.6 2 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[k] | – | – | 3.3 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 46] | 14 Sep–29 Oct 2022 | 587 | ? | 33.6 31 |
32.0 31 |
13.5 11 |
5.4 2 |
5.6 1 |
3.6 2 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[k] | – | – | 1.6 |
| 2022 regional election | 13 Feb 2022 | N/a | 58.8 | 31.4 31 |
30.0 28 |
17.6 13 |
5.1 1 |
4.5 1 |
4.3 3 |
1.6 3 |
1.1 1 |
[k] | – | – | 1.4 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 regional election[m] | 15 Mar 2026 | N/a | 23.0 | 19.9 | 12.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | [j] | 0.9 | N/a | 34.3 | 3.1 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 10] | 8–9 Mar 2026 | 1,500 | 21.9 | 22.3 | 14.1 | 1.8 | – | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4.8 | [j] | 1.4 | 13.8 | 7.2 | 0.4 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 19] | 27 Feb–4 Mar 2026 | 1,200 | 19.0 | 19.8 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.0 | [j] | 2.2 | 17.8 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 31] | 12–14 Feb 2026 | 1,500 | 20.8 | 20.6 | 16.6 | 1.5 | – | 8.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.4 | [j] | 1.1 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 0.2 |
| CIS[p 32] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 13.0 | 2.3 | – | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.7 | [j] | 0.6 | 16.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| CIS[p 47] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 1,067 | 24.0 | 30.7 | 6.1 | 2.2 | – | 1.6 | 0.2 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 23.9 | 4.0 | 6.7 |
| 2024 EP election[m] | 9 Jun 2024 | N/a | 24.5 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | – | 0.3 | – | [l] | 1.6 | 2.2 | N/a | 44.5 | 7.8 |
| 2023 general election[m] | 23 Jul 2023 | N/a | 30.7 | 23.8 | 10.2 | [l] | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | [l] | 5.2 | – | N/a | 25.6 | 6.9 |
| 2022 regional election[m] | 13 Feb 2022 | N/a | 19.7 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | [k] | – | – | N/a | 36.6 | 0.8 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SALF | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 32] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 29.1 | 28.8 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 0.3 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 32] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 79.0 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 72.8 |
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.
- All candidates
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Tudanca PSOE |
Martínez PSOE |
Hierro Vox |
Pollán Vox |
Llamas Podemos |
Gallego UPL |
Ceña SY |
Pascual XAV |
Gascón IU |
Echeva. SALF | ||||||
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 48] | 8 Mar 2026 | 802 | 26.7 | – | 15.3 | – | 4.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | 1.6 | – | 22.3 | 27.1 | 11.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 16] | 2–4 Mar 2026 | 1,002 | 39.0 | – | 23.0 | – | 9.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 29.0 | 16.0 | |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 19] | 27 Feb–4 Mar 2026 | 1,200 | 22.5 | – | 21.4 | – | 11.1 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 14.3 | 14.7 | 1.1 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 31] | 12–14 Feb 2026 | 1,500 | 23.7 | – | 19.5 | – | 14.1 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 23.2 | 4.2 |
| CIS[p 32] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 28.1 | – | 22.2 | – | 10.0 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 11.5 | 17.7 | 5.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 36] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 19.8 | – | 19.7 | – | 12.3 | 5.4 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 35.9 | 0.1 | |
| CIS[n][p 47] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 1,067 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 | 60.6 | 4.8 |
- Mañueco vs. Martínez
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Martínez PSOE | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 36] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 38.5 | 33.7 | – | 27.7 | 4.8 |
Predicted President
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Martínez PSOE | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 36] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 51.8 | 17.7 | – | 30.6 | 34.1 |
| Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 39] | 27 May–7 Jun 2025 | 2,700 | 68.5 | 15.5 | – | – | 53.0 |
Voter turnout
The table below shows registered voter turnout on election day, without including non-resident citizens.
| Province | Time | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | 14:00 | 18:00 | 20:00 | ||||||||||
| 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | ||
| Ávila | 11.90% | 12.46% | +0.56 | 34.85% | 36.13% | +1.28 | 52.62% | 52.50% | −0.12 | 63.95% | 64.85% | +0.90 | |
| Burgos | 11.24% | 12.71% | +1.47 | 35.08% | 37.38% | +2.30 | 51.05% | 52.49% | +1.44 | 62.80% | 64.77% | +1.97 | |
| León | 10.01% | 11.86% | +1.85 | 32.00% | 34.64% | +2.64 | 48.54% | 51.13% | +2.59 | 60.16% | 63.38% | +3.22 | |
| Palencia | 11.24% | 12.79% | +1.55 | 34.75% | 38.02% | +3.27 | 52.40% | 54.44% | +2.04 | 64.95% | 67.38% | +2.43 | |
| Salamanca | 11.69% | 12.71% | +1.02 | 34.84% | 36.49% | +1.65 | 51.01% | 52.15% | +1.14 | 62.74% | 64.58% | +1.84 | |
| Segovia | 12.23% | 13.10% | +0.87 | 35.74% | 37.86% | +2.12 | 53.31% | 53.97% | +0.66 | 64.98% | 66.16% | +1.18 | |
| Soria | 12.20% | 13.80% | +1.60 | 36.15% | 39.32% | +3.17 | 51.96% | 53.93% | +1.97 | 65.80% | 67.14% | +1.34 | |
| Valladolid | 11.90% | 12.97% | +1.07 | 37.21% | 38.84% | +1.63 | 55.06% | 56.24% | +1.18 | 66.80% | 69.06% | +2.26 | |
| Zamora | 10.70% | 12.43% | +1.73 | 32.24% | 35.45% | +3.21 | 48.87% | 51.27% | +2.40 | 60.80% | 63.23% | +2.43 | |
| Total | 11.30% | 12.63% | +1.33 | 34.73% | 36.97% | +2.24 | 51.62% | 53.19% | +1.57 | 63.44% | 65.66% | +2.22 | |
| Sources[131][132] | |||||||||||||
Results
Overall
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 438,096 | 35.47 | +4.07 | 33 | +2 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 379,703 | 30.74 | +0.72 | 30 | +2 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 233,757 | 18.93 | +1.29 | 14 | +1 | |
| Leonese People's Union (UPL) | 53,805 | 4.36 | +0.08 | 3 | ±0 | |
| United Left, Unite Movement, Greens Equo: In Common (IU–MS–VQ)1 | 27,605 | 2.24 | n/a | 0 | ±0 | |
| The Party is Over (SALF) | 17,351 | 1.40 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| For Ávila (XAV) | 11,307 | 0.92 | −0.22 | 1 | ±0 | |
| We Can–Green Alliance CyL 2026 (Podemos–AV)1 | 9,225 | 0.75 | n/a | 0 | −1 | |
| Soria Now! (SY) | 8,728 | 0.71 | −0.88 | 1 | −2 | |
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)2 | 5,027 | 0.41 | −0.13 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 4,762 | 0.39 | +0.34 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 4,320 | 0.35 | −4.15 | 0 | −1 | |
| Nine Castile and León (NueveCyL) | 4,207 | 0.34 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Municipalist Burgalese Way (VBM)3 | 3,543 | 0.29 | −0.50 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Castilian Party–Commoners' Land (PCAS–TC) | 3,051 | 0.25 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Empty Spain (España Vaciada)4 | 2,991 | 0.24 | −0.76 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Coalition for El Bierzo (CBierzo) | 1,946 | 0.16 | −0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 1,688 | 0.14 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Let's Go Palencia (VP) | 1,641 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (M+J) | 1,555 | 0.13 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) | 869 | 0.07 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) | 789 | 0.06 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Forward Proyect (PAlantre) | 383 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Nationalist Party of Castile and León–Citizen Reformist Union (PANCAL–URCI) | 289 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Food Sovereignty (SAE) | 106 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 18,312 | 1.48 | +0.48 | |||
| Total | 1,235,056 | 82 | +1 | |||
| Valid votes | 1,235,056 | 98.69 | −0.22 | |||
| Invalid votes | 16,352 | 1.31 | +0.22 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 1,251,408 | 59.65 | +0.90 | |||
| Abstentions | ||||||
| Registered voters | 2,097,768 | |||||
| Sources[132] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | Vox | UPL | XAV | SY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Ávila | 36.2 | 3 | 24.5 | 2 | 19.4 | 1 | 14.1 | 1 | ||||
| Burgos | 35.1 | 5 | 34.3 | 4 | 18.4 | 2 | ||||||
| León | 28.0 | 4 | 28.3 | 4 | 16.5 | 2 | 21.0 | 3 | ||||
| Palencia | 35.6 | 3 | 34.2 | 3 | 20.4 | 1 | ||||||
| Salamanca | 43.0 | 5 | 29.2 | 3 | 18.8 | 2 | 1.5 | − | ||||
| Segovia | 39.2 | 3 | 31.2 | 3 | 19.4 | 1 | ||||||
| Soria | 28.8 | 1 | 32.0 | 2 | 15.9 | 1 | 19.9 | 1 | ||||
| Valladolid | 36.2 | 6 | 32.0 | 6 | 20.7 | 3 | 0.1 | − | ||||
| Zamora | 38.1 | 3 | 30.5 | 3 | 20.0 | 1 | 2.9 | − | ||||
| Total | 35.5 | 33 | 30.7 | 30 | 18.9 | 14 | 4.4 | 3 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Sources[132] | ||||||||||||
Notes
- ^ This turnout estimation does not include non-resident votes, and has been manually calculated by dividing the number of votes cast by the total number of registered voters (the latter including those residing abroad). Turnout from voters residing in Castile and León increased from 63.4% to 65.7%.
- ^ a b Within the EV–SY alliance in the 2022 election.
- ^ Francisco Igea, former CS legislator.[76]
- ^ Ana Rosa Hernando and Javier Teira, former Vox legislators.[77]
- ^ Within the Unidas Podemos alliance in the 2022 election: Podemos (1 seat) and IU (0 seats).[74]
- ^ Cs did not field a single candidate for the post of president of the Regional Government of Castile and León nor did have a visible single leader of the candidacy, on the basis of it being a "collective project".
- ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
- ^ In Castile and León, the debate was broadcast on La 1 (67,000; 9.7%) and 24 Horas (9,000; 1.2%). Nationwide, the debate was broadcast on 24 Horas (103,000; 0.6%).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae Within IU.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Within Unidas Podemos.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Within Sumar.
- ^ a b c d Does not include non-resident citizens.
- ^ Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.
References
Opinion poll sources
- ^ "El PP gana con claridad las elecciones en Castilla y León, el PSOE resiste y Vox crece, según un sondeo de GAD3". El Debate (in Spanish). 15 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP gana y subiría, pero dependerá de un Vox al alza mientras el PSOE resiste como segunda fuerza". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 15 March 2026.
- ^ "Mañueco consolida su victoria y Vox superaría su techo del 20%". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 March 2026.
- ^ "Los líos internos pasan factura a Vox: por primera vez en dos años baja en los 'trackings'". The Objective (in Spanish). 14 March 2026.
- ^ "Sondeo final: Mañueco gana con claridad pero tendrá que pactar con un Vox reforzado y el PSOE se acerca a su peor dato". El Español (in Spanish). 15 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP ganaría en Castilla y León, el PSOE aguanta perdiendo escaños y Vox rompería la barrera del 20%, según el sondeo de Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 15 March 2026.
- ^ "Mañueco se refuerza, Vox se dispara y el PSOE vuelve a bajar". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "[A] CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 09/03/2026: PP 34,1% (32), PSOE 27,9% (26), VOX 19,4% (17), UPL 5,3% (4), IU-MS-VQ 4,4% (1), PODEMOS-AV 2,7%, SY 1,0% (1), XAV 0,9% (1), CS 0,7%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "Mañueco mantiene los 31 escaños de 2022 y seguirá necesitando a Vox, que crece cuatro". Okdiario (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Último sondeo en CYL: Mañueco se mantiene al alza, el PSOE resiste a la baja y Vox supera por primera vez el 20%". El Español (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "EP Castilla y León (9 mar): Mañueco, sin certezas de gobernar en solitario mientras Vox coge impulso". Electomanía (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP, casi empatado con el PSOE, ganaría en Castilla y León pero necesitaría a un Vox muy reforzado". El Debate (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP sube un escaño con Vox que «toca» cuatro más". La Razón (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "Vox se dispara, acaricia el 20% y tapona el despegue del PP en Castilla y León mientras el PSOE se estanca". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 March 2026.
- ^ "PP y Vox alcanzan una holgada mayoría absoluta de 49 escaños y el 53,8% del voto en Castilla y León". Vozpópuli (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ a b "La derecha consolida su auge en Castilla y León con subidas de PP y Vox". ABC (in Spanish). 8 March 2026.
- ^ "Rindiendo cuentas: Precisión de escaños en las elecciones de Castilla y León". ABC (in Spanish). 16 March 2026.
- ^ "Vox roza el 20% en Castilla y León mientras el PP de Mañueco se estanca". El País (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ a b c "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones castellanoleonesas. Marzo 2026" (PDF). Prisa (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "Encuesta de Gesop para LA OPINIÓN: El PP volvería a ganar las elecciones y aguantaría sin desgaste el tirón de Vox". La Opinión-El Correo de Zamora (in Spanish). 8 March 2026.
- ^ "[A] CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Encuesta GESOP 08/03/2026: PP 29,6% (29/32), PSOE 27,5% (26/29), VOX 20,0% (16/19), UPL 4,5% (3), IU-MS-VQ 4,0% (1), PODEMOS-AV 2,1%, XAV 1,3% (1), SY 1,0% (1/2)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 8 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Castilla y León y reforzaría su mayoría". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 6 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP crece con Mañueco, que ganaría con holgura, con un VOX al alza y un PSOE que no frena su caída". Diario de Castilla y León (in Spanish). 6 March 2026.
- ^ "ElectoPanel CyL (2 mar): Mañueco en 32, seguiría dependiendo de Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 March 2026.
- ^ "El PP de Mañueco, el que más crece y logra rebajar el avance de Vox en Castilla y León". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 March 2026.
- ^ "EP Castilla y León (23 feb): PSOE y Vox se disputan varios escaños 'cojos'". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 February 2026.
- ^ "Encuesta autonómicas 2026: El PP aumenta su diferencia con el PSOE en Castilla y León pese al crecimiento de Vox". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 9 March 2026.
- ^ "[A] CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 09/03/2026: PP 33,1% (28/31), PSOE 27,1% (20/25), VOX 23,7% (19/23), UPL 4,9% (3/4), PODEMOS-AV 3,4% (0/1), CS 1,7%, SY 1,4% (2/3), XAV 1,2% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 December 2025.
- ^ "El PP sube por el centro en Castilla y León mientras Vox retrocede y el PSOE evita otro descalabro". El Mundo (in Spanish). 22 February 2026.
- ^ "ElectoPanel CyL (16 feb): Mañueco baja y quedaría en manos de un Vox que supera el 20%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 16 February 2026.
- ^ a b c "El PSOE también se hunde en CyL: Mañueco se mantiene al alza y Vox supera por primera vez el 20% en una autonomía". El Español (in Spanish). 2 March 2026.
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- ^ "[A] CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 09/12/2025: PP 32,1% (28/34), PSOE 28,1% (23/27), VOX 20,5% (14/20), UPL 4,3% (3), PODEMOS 4,1% (0/2), CS 3,3% (1), SY 1,7% (3), XAV 1,2% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 December 2025.
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- ^ a b "El PP podría gobernar en solitario en Castilla y León con pactos puntuales o en coalición". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 17 June 2025.
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- ^ "EP (Castilla y León 31oct): PP y PSOE en empate técnico, baja Vox. La derecha mantiene la mayoría, muy ajustada". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 October 2022.
- ^ a b "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
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- ^ Statute (2007), arts. 20 & 24.
- ^ a b c Statute (2007), art. 21.
- ^ LECyL (1987), art. 2.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3.
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- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 42.
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- ^ Statute (2007), art. 26.
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- ^ "CyLTV ofrece hoy martes el debate electoral de Castilla y León" (in Spanish). CyLTV. 10 March 2026. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
- ^ "'El conquistador' no tiene rival en Euskadi y lidera con un 14,2% en ETB" (in Spanish). Fórmula TV. 11 March 2026. Retrieved 11 March 2026.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3543. Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2026. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León)". CIS (in Spanish). 20 February 2026.
- ^ "Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León 2026. Avances de participación" (in Spanish). Regional Government of Castile and León. 15 March 2026. Retrieved 15 March 2026.
- ^ a b c "Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León 2026. Resultados provisionales" (in Spanish). Regional Government of Castile and León. 15 March 2026. Retrieved 15 March 2026.
Bibliography
- Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5/1985). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 19 June 1985 [version as of 14 July 2025]. BOE-A-1985-11672. Retrieved 5 October 2025.
- Ley 3/1987, de 30 de marzo, Electoral de Castilla y León (Law 3/1987). Official Gazette of Castile and León (in Spanish). 30 March 1987 [version as of 6 July 2017]. BOE-A-1987-9475. Retrieved 5 October 2025.
- Ley Orgánica 14/2007, de 30 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla y León (Organic Law 14/2007). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 30 November 2007 [version as of 11 April 2011]. BOE-A-2007-20635. Retrieved 5 October 2025.