2006 United States Senate election in Nevada

2006 United States Senate election in Nevada
November 7, 2006 (2006-11-07)
Turnout58.8% (voting eligible)
 
Nominee John Ensign Jack Carter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 322,501 238,796
Percentage 55.36% 40.99%
County results
Ensign:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

John Ensign
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Ensign
Republican

The 2006 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican John Ensign defeated Democratic nominee Jack Carter to win re-election to a second term. This was the only U.S. Senate election in Nevada where the incumbent Republican Senator was re-elected since 1980 and the only election for this seat where the incumbent Republican Senator was re-elected since 1952.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Defeated in primary

  • Ed Hamilton, businessman

Results

Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Ensign (incumbent) 127,023 90.47
Republican None of these candidates 6,754 4.81
Republican Ed Hamilton 6,629 4.72
Total votes 140,406 100.00

Democratic primary

Popular Las Vegas mayor Oscar Goodman had said in January 2006 that he would probably run,[2] but decisively ruled out a run in late April.[3] Going into the 2006 cycle, many top Nevada Democrats such as State Assembly speaker Richard Perkins indicated that the party would put more efforts into the gubernatorial election than into defeating Ensign.[3]

Candidates

Nominee

Defeated in primary

  • Ruby Jee Tun, middle school science teacher[2]

Declined

Results

Democratic primary vote[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jack Carter 92,270 78.30
Democratic None of these candidates 14,425 12.24
Democratic Ruby Jee Tun 11,147 9.46
Total votes 117,842 100.00

General election

Candidates

  • Jack Carter (D), Navy veteran and son of former President Jimmy Carter
  • John Ensign (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • David Schumann (I), retired financial analyst, 2004 nominee, and 2002 state senator nominee
  • Brendan Trainor (L), state party chair, airline quality manager, and frequent candidate

Campaign

Carter's advantages included his formidable speaking abilities and kinship with a former U.S. president. On the other hand, Ensign was also considered to be an effective speaker and as of the first quarter of 2006, held an approximately 5–1 advantage over Carter in cash-on-hand.

Endorsements

Jack Carter (D)
Individuals

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin of
error 		John
Ensign(R) 		Jack
Carter (D) 		Others Undecided
Mason-Dixon (Las Vegas Review-Journal)[6] October 21–24, 2005 625 (RV) ±4.0% 59% 25% – 16%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal) October 25–31, 2005 ? ±4.5% 48% 33% – 19%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal) December 1–6, 2005 ? ±4.3% 52% 34% – 14%
Rasmussen Reports[7] January 23, 2006 ? ±4.5% 53% 34% 7% 6%
Hart Research (D) March 2–13, 2006 ? ±3.1% 49% 32% – 19%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[8] March 22–27, 2006 ? ±4.3% 52% 38% – 11%
Mason-Dixon (Las Vegas Review-Journal)[9] April 3–5, 2006 625 (RV) ±4.0% 60% 27% – 13%
Research 2000 (Reno Gazette-Journal/News 4)[10] May 12–15, 2006 ? ±4.0% 52% 32% – 16%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[11] June 13–19, 2006 ? ±4.1% 51% 36% – 13%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[11] July 11–19, 2006 ? ±4.3% 50% 35% – 15%
Rasmussen Reports[12] July 31, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.5% 46% 39% 4% 11%
Mason-Dixon (Las Vegas Review-Journal)[13] August 7–10, 2006 625 (RV) ±4.0% 54% 33% – 13%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[14] August 15–21, 2006 ? ±4.3% 48% 45% – 7%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[14] August 29–September 5, 2006 ? ±4.4% 52% 40% – 8%
Research 2000 (Reno Gazette-Journal)[15] September 5–7, 2006 600 (LV) ±4.0% 56% 35% – 9%
Rasmussen Reports[16] September 6, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.5% 50% 41% 3% 6%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[14] September 19–25, 2006 ? ±4.2% 49% 42% – 9%
Mason-Dixon (Las Vegas Review-Journal)[17] September 19–26, 2006 625 (RV) ±4.0% 58% 35% 1% 6%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal)[18] October 10–16, 2006 547 (LV) ±4.2% 52% 43% – 5%
Rasmussen Reports[19] October 17, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.5% 50% 42% – 8%
Research 2000 (Reno Gazette-Journal)[20] October 23–25, 2006 600 (LV) ±4.0% 55% 41% – 4%
Zogby International (Wall Street Journal) October 23–27, 2006 ? ±4.4% 58% 37% – 5%
Mason-Dixon (Las Vegas Review-Journal)[21] October 26–30, 2006 ? ±4.0% 54% 37% – 9%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Solid R November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[23] Safe R November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[24] Safe R November 6, 2006

Results

Ensign won a majority of the votes in every county in the state, with his lowest percentage at 52.5%.[25]

General election results[26]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Ensign (incumbent) 322,501 55.36 +0.27
Democratic Jack Carter 238,796 40.99 +1.30
None of These Candidates 8,232 1.41 –0.50
Independent American David K. Schumann 7,774 1.33 +0.91
Libertarian Brendan Trainor 5,269 0.90 +0.01
Majority 83,705 14.37 –1.03
Turnout 582,572 58.78 –9.87
Republican hold Swing –0.5

By county

County John Ensign
Republican 		Jack Carter
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Carson City 11,002 60.6% 6,461 35.6% 702 3.8% 4,541 25.0% 18,165
Churchill 5,777 71.3% 2,000 24.7% 327 4.0% 3,777 46.6% 8,104
Clark 188,847 52.5% 159,214 44.2% 11,979 3.3% 29,633 8.3% 360,040
Douglas 12,822 66.3% 5,795 30.0% 716 3.7% 7,027 33.3% 19,333
Elko 8,218 69.6% 2,941 24.9% 652 5.5% 5,277 44.7% 11,811
Esmeralda 289 66.9% 91 21.1% 52 12.0% 198 45.8% 432
Eureka 510 70.8% 128 17.8% 82 11.5% 382 53.0% 720
Humboldt 3,145 70.0% 1,129 25.1% 216 4.8% 2,016 44.9% 4,490
Lander 1,252 70.1% 450 25.2% 83 4.6% 802 44.9% 1,785
Lincoln 1,323 71.4% 415 22.4% 115 6.2% 908 49.0% 1,853
Lyon 9,876 65.5% 4,522 30.0% 669 4.4% 5,354 35.5% 15,067
Mineral 1,237 58.9% 728 34.7% 135 6.5% 509 24.2% 2,100
Nye 6,855 57.9% 4,294 36.3% 688 5.8% 2,561 21.6% 11,837
Pershing 983 63.9% 462 30.0% 93 6.0% 521 33.9% 1,538
Storey 1,151 61.2% 635 33.8% 94 5.0% 516 27.4% 1,880
Washoe 67,262 56.0% 48,385 40.3% 4,440 3.7% 18,877 15.7% 120,087
White Pine 1,952 58.6% 1,146 34.4% 232 6.9% 806 24.2% 3,330
Totals 322,501 55.4% 238,796 41.0% 21,275 3.7% 83,705 14.4% 582,572

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ a b "2006 Official Statewide Primary Election Results". nvsos.gov. August 15, 2006. Archived from the original on May 27, 2010. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  2. ^ a b Riley, Brendan (January 3, 2006). "Reid: Las Vegas mayor discusses Senate bid". Las Vegas Sun. Archived from the original on March 29, 2006. Retrieved March 30, 2006.
  3. ^ a b c Boone, Rebecca (April 26, 2021). "Las Vegas News | Breaking News & Headlines | Las Vegas Review-Journal". Reviewjournal.com. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  4. ^ a b c "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  5. ^ "Jack Carter (Senate NV) | WesPAC". November 4, 2006. Archived from the original on November 4, 2006. Retrieved April 8, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  6. ^ Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon Oct 05
  7. ^ Rasmussen Archived September 21, 2006, at the Wayback Machine
  8. ^ Zogby/WSJ
  9. ^ Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon April
  10. ^ Reno Gazette-Journal/News 4
  11. ^ a b Zogby/WSJ
  12. ^ Rasmussen Archived September 21, 2006, at the Wayback Machine
  13. ^ Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon
  14. ^ a b c Zogby/WSJ
  15. ^ Reno Gazette-Journal/Research 2000
  16. ^ Rasmussen
  17. ^ Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Sep
  18. ^ Zogby/WSJ
  19. ^ Rasmussen Oct
  20. ^ Reno Gazette-Journal/Research 2000
  21. ^ 2006 Nevada Polls
  22. ^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  23. ^ "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  24. ^ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  25. ^ "2006 Federal & State Election Results | Nevada Secretary of State". www.nvsos.gov. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  26. ^ Miller, Lorraine C. (September 21, 2007). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006". clerk.house.gov. Archived from the original on January 30, 2008. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
Official campaign websites
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