2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia

Not to be confused with 2020 Georgia State Senate election.
For related races, see 2020 United States Senate elections. For the simultaneous Class II general election to the next Senate term held in parallel, see 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia.

2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia
November 3, 2020 (first round)
January 5, 2021 (runoff)
Turnout65.3% (first round)
59.7% (runoff)
 
Candidate Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler
Party Democratic Republican
First round 1,617,035
32.90% 		1,273,214
25.91%
Runoff 2,289,113
51.04% 		2,195,841
48.96%
 
Candidate Doug Collins Deborah Jackson
Party Republican Democratic
First round 980,454
19.95% 		324,118
6.6%
Runoff Eliminated Eliminated

Warnock:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Collins:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Jackson:      30–40%      40–50%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No data

Warnock:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Collins:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Jackson:      30–40%      40–50%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No data

Warnock:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Collins:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Jackson:      30–40%      40–50%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No data

Warnock:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie      50%      No data

Warnock:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie      50%      No data

Warnock:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loeffler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie      50%      No data
U.S. senator before election

Kelly Loeffler[note 1]
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic

The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020; however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won narrowly.

The special election was prompted by the December 2019 resignation of Johnny Isakson. Georgia governor Brian Kemp appointed Loeffler as the interim replacement pending the special election.

Under Georgia law, no primary election took place for the special election; all candidates, regardless of party, were placed on the same ballot (known as a nonpartisan blanket primary, or "jungle primary"), and the election was held on November 3, 2020. Warnock received the most votes with 32.9%, and Loeffler came in second with 25.9%. No candidate received more than 50% of the vote, so the top two candidates advanced to a runoff election on January 5, 2021.[1]

The runoff was held concurrently with the regular Georgia Class II Senate election, in which Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican David Perdue, also in a runoff on January 5. Following the November 3, 2020 Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats, and the Democratic caucus—46 registered Democrats and two allied independents—had 48. Because of this, the two Georgia runoffs determined the balance of the United States Senate under the incoming Biden administration. Winning both races gave the Democratic caucus 50 Senate seats, an effective majority with Democratic vice president Kamala Harris casting tie-breaking votes. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally.

Major media outlets, including Decision Desk HQ, the Associated Press, The New York Times, and NBC News, called the election for Warnock in the early hours of January 6, just minutes after he declared victory. Though Loeffler vowed to challenge the results after she returned from the electoral vote certification in Washington,[2] she conceded on January 7.[3] Ossoff and Warnock became the first Democrats to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in the 2000 special election. Warnock is the first Black senator from Georgia, as well as the first Black Democrat from the South elected to the Senate. Though Warnock is the first Democratic senator from this seat since the latter election,[4] hours later Ossoff was declared the winner in the regular Senate election.[5][6] The two elections mark the first time since the 1994 United States Senate election in Tennessee and the concurrent special election that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle. This was also the first time the Democrats achieved this since West Virginia's 1958 Senate elections. The election results were certified on January 19, 2021, with the senators-elect taking office on January 20, marking the first time since 2003 that Democrats held both of Georgia’s Senate seats and making them the first Democratic U.S. Senators from Georgia since 2005.[7][8][9] Loeffler would later go on to serve as the Administrator of the Small Business Administration in 2025 during Donald Trump's second term in office.

Background

On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31, 2019, due to his deteriorating health.[10] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, 2019, Georgia governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés to be considered for appointment.[11] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Representative Doug Collins.[12] Kemp appointed Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020.[13]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Despite the large number of candidates in the special election, by October 4, 2020, the Democratic Party had largely consolidated around Warnock's candidacy and had pressured other Democratic candidates, such as Matt Lieberman, to drop out to avoid vote-splitting.[14]

While she had not been treated as a major contender and was largely ignored by pollsters, Deborah Jackson received 6.6% of the vote in the initial round of the election, being the second-best performing Democrat, and outperformed fellow Democrats such as Matt Lieberman and Ed Tarver, who pollsters had paid attention to. Al Jazeera attributed her performance, in part, to her being the first Democrat listed in the order of candidates that appeared on the ballot, and her being a familiar figure in the Democratic stronghold of DeKalb County.[15]

Advanced to runoff

Eliminated

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Lieberman

U.S. senators

Individuals

Raphael Warnock

U.S. presidents

U.S. vice presidents

U.S. cabinet members

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Republican Party

Advanced to runoff

Eliminated

Withdrawn

Declined

Kelly Loeffler

U.S. presidents

U.S. vice presidents

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

Individuals

Doug Collins

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • John "Green" Fortuin[81]

Independents

Declared

Special election

Polling

Jungle primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
Landmark Communications[142] November 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 24% 5% 27% 1% 38% 1%[b] 3%
Data for Progress[143] October 27 – November 1, 2020 1,036 (LV) ± 3% 21% 8% 26% 3% 41% 1%[c] –
Emerson College[144] October 29–31, 2020 749 (LV) ± 3.5% 27%[d] 8% 24% 2% 38% 2%[e] –
Landmark Communications[145] October 28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 23% 9% 25% 1% 37% 2%[f] 3%
Public Policy Polling[146] October 27–28, 2020 661 (V) – 19% 2% 27% 0% 46% 2%[e] 4%
Monmouth University[147] October 23–27, 2020 504 (RV) ± 4.4% 18% 4% 21% 3% 41% 7%[g] 6%
504 (LV)[h] 19% – 22% – 41% – –
504 (LV)[i] 20% – 22% – 42% – –
Civiqs/Daily Kos[148] October 23–26, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 3.3% 23% 2% 22% 1% 48% 2%[e] 2%
University of Georgia[149] October 14–23, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 4% 21% 4% 20% 1% 34% 5%[j] 14%
Landmark Communications[150] October 21, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 27% – 24% – 33% – –
Citizen Data[151] October 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 19% 4% 23% 1% 41% 3% 10%
Emerson College[152] October 17–19, 2020 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 27% 12% 20% 2% 27% 2%[e] 12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[153] October 13–19, 2020 759 (LV) ± 4.1% 17% 7% 23% 2% 32% 1%[k] 18%[l]
Opinion Insight (R)[154][A] October 12–15, 2020 801 (LV) ± 3.46% 18%[d] 3% 19% 1% 31% 14%[m] 18%[l]
Quinnipiac University[155] October 8–12, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 22% 5% 20% 2% 41% 0%[n] 9%
SurveyUSA[156] October 8–12, 2020 677 (LV) ± 5.7% 20% 8% 26% 3% 30% 2%[o] 12%
Data for Progress[157] October 8–11, 2020 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 22% 10% 22% – 30% 17%[p] –
Public Policy Polling[158] October 8–9, 2020 528 (V) ± 4.3% 22% 3% 24% 0% 41% 2%[e] 8%
Landmark Communications[159] October 7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 23% 3% 26% 0% 36% 4%[q] 8%
University of Georgia[160] September 27 – October 6, 2020 1,106 (LV) ± 2.9% 21% 3% 22% 4% 28% 3%[r] 19%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[161] September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 25% 5% 21% 2% 38% 1%[s] 7%
Hart Research Associates (D)[162][B] September 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 21% 8%[t] 28% 3% 28% – –
Quinnipiac University[163] September 23–27, 2020 1,125 (LV) ± 2.9% 22% 9% 23% 4% 31% 0%[n] 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[164] September 23–26, 2020 789 (LV) ± 3.49% 16% 16% 25% – 26% 3%[u] 14%
Monmouth University[165] September 17–21, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 22% 11% 23% 4% 21% 6%[v] 13%
402 (LV)[h] 23% 11% 23% 3% 23% 5%[w] 12%
402 (LV)[i] 24% 9% 23% 2% 25% 4%[x] 12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[166] September 16–21, 2020 523 (LV) ± 4.9% 19% 7% 23% 4% 19% 1%[k] 27%[l]
University of Georgia[167] September 11–20, 2020 1,150 (LV) ± 4.0% 21% 11% 24% 5% 20% 4%[y] 16%
Data For Progress (D)[168] September 14–19, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 22% 14% 21% – 26% – 17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[169] September 12–17, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 19% 15% 26% – 21% 5%[z] 15%
GBAO Strategies (D)[170][C] September 14–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 19% 11% 29% 5% 25% – –
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[171][D] August 30 – September 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 20% 10% 24% 7% 19% 1%[aa] 19%
Opinion Insight (R)[172][A] August 30 – September 2, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 20%[d] 4% 17% 1% 17% 13%[ab] 27%
HarrisX (D)[173][E] August 20–30, 2020 1,616 (RV) ± 2.4% 21% 13% 26% 7% 16% 18%[ac] –
SurveyUSA[174] August 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 17% 13% 26% 3% 17% 2%[o] 21%
HIT Strategies (D)[175][F] July 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 18% 14% 22% 6% 14% 1%[ad] 23%
Monmouth University[176] July 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 20% 14% 26% 5% 9% 8%[ae] 18%
402 (LV)[h] 21% 14% 26% 5% 10% 6%[af] 17%
402 (LV)[i] 22% 13% 26% 4% 10% 6%[af] 19%
Spry Strategies (R)[177][G] July 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 20% 23% 19% 9% – – 20%
GBAO Strategies (D)[170][C] July 6–9, 2020 600 (LV) – 26% 19% 21% 9% 16% – –
Battleground Connect (R)[178][H] July 6–8, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 26% 15% 17% 5% 10% 2%[e] 26%
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 26% 11% 24% 9% 18% – 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[180][J] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 23% 11% 21% 3% 20% – 22%
MRG (D)[181][K] June 18–23, 2020 1,259 (LV) – 27% 13% 21% – 23% 5%[ag] 12%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 14% 12% 6% 18% 4%[ah] 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[183] May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 19% 17% 18% – 9% 11%[ai] 26%
Cygnal (R)[184][L] April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 12% 11% 4% 11% 2%[aj] 31%
Battleground Connect (R)[185][H] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.01% 36% 11% 13% 3% 16% 4%[ak] 17%
Battleground Connect (R)[186][H] March 24, 2020 1,025 (LV)[t] – 34% 18% 14% 5% 13% – 15%
Battleground Connect (R)[186][H] March 21, 2020 1,025 (LV)[t] – 32% 19% 15% 5% 12% – 18%
Battleground Connect (R)[186][H] March 12, 2020 1,025 (LV)[t] – 30% 18% 19% 5% 10% – 18%
Battleground Connect (R)[186][H] March 7, 2020 1,025 (LV)[t] – 29% 16% 20% 5% 12% – 18%
University of Georgia[187] February 24 – March 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 21% 11% 19% 4% 6% 8%[al] 31%
Battleground Connect (R)[185][H] February 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 28% 5% 20% 3% 13% – 31%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[188][M] February 17–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 18% 20% –[am] – 7%[an] 21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[189][H] December 16–18, 2019 600 (LV) – 32% 42% 11% – — — 16%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[190] Tossup October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[191] Tilt R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[192] Tossup November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[193] Tossup October 30, 2020
Politico[194] Lean R November 2, 2020
RCP[195] Lean R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[196] Tossup November 3, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[197] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Economist[198] Tossup November 2, 2020

Results

Since no candidate won a majority of the vote on November 3, the top two finishers—Loeffler and Warnock—advanced to a January 5, 2021 runoff election.[199][200]

2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia[201]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raphael Warnock 1,617,035 32.90%
Republican Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) 1,273,214 25.91%
Republican Doug Collins 980,454 19.95%
Democratic Deborah Jackson 324,118 6.60%
Democratic Matt Lieberman 136,021 2.77%
Democratic Tamara Johnson-Shealey 106,767 2.17%
Democratic Jamesia James 94,406 1.92%
Republican Derrick Grayson 51,592 1.05%
Democratic Joy Felicia Slade 44,945 0.91%
Republican Annette Davis Jackson 44,335 0.90%
Republican Kandiss Taylor 40,349 0.82%
Republican Wayne Johnson (withdrawn) 36,176 0.74%
Libertarian Brian Slowinski 35,431 0.72%
Democratic Richard Dien Winfield 28,687 0.58%
Democratic Ed Tarver 26,333 0.54%
Independent Allen Buckley 17,954 0.37%
Green John Fortuin 15,293 0.31%
Independent Al Bartell 14,640 0.30%
Independent Valencia Stovall 13,318 0.27%
Independent Michael Todd Greene 13,293 0.27%
Total votes 4,914,361 100.00%

By county

County[202] Raphael Warnock
Democratic 		Kelly Loefflerr
Republican 		Doug Collins
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # %
Appling 1,051 12.88% 1,807 22.15% 2,355 28.86% 2,946 36.11% -1,304 -15.98% 8,159
Atkinson 406 13.56% 946 31.59% 1,038 34.66% 605 20.20% -632 -21.10% 2,995
Bacon 315 6.98% 1,547 34.29% 1,646 36.48% 1,004 22.25% -1,331 -39.50% 4,512
Baker 457 30.18% 413 27.28% 388 25.63% 256 16.91% 44 2.91% 1,514
Baldwin 6,167 34.48% 4,639 25.94% 3,521 19.69% 3,558 19.89% 1,528 8.54% 17,885
Banks 604 6.96% 2,605 30.02% 4,710 54.27% 760 8.76% -2,105 -47.31% 8,679
Barrow 8,458 16.20% 14,483 38.94% 9,671 26.00% 7,011 18.85% -4,812 -22.74% 37,190
Bartow 7,655 15.43% 21,183 42.69% 12,891 25.98% 7,890 15.90% -5,236 -10.55% 49,619
Ben Hill 1,308 20.30% 1,780 27.62% 1,880 29.17% 1,476 22.91% -572 -8.88% 6,444
Berrien 701 9.27% 3,318 43.86% 2,481 32.80% 1,065 14.08% -2,617 -34.59% 7,565
Bibb 30,896 44.18% 14,584 20.85% 10,194 14.58% 14,266 20.40% 16,312 23.32% 69,940
Bleckley 876 15.61% 2,133 38.00% 1,927 34.33% 677 12.06% -1,257 -22.39% 5,613
Brantley 236 3.19% 2,410 32.62% 3,128 42.34% 1,614 21.85% -2,892 -39.14% 7,388
Brooks 1,024 14.98% 1,953 28.57% 1,750 25.60% 2,108 30.84% -929 -13.59% 6,835
Bryan 3,941 18.87% 7,950 38.06% 4,775 22.86% 4,522 20.21% -4,009 -19.19% 20,888
Bulloch 6,665 22.52% 8,944 30.22% 7,854 26.53% 6,136 20.73% -2,279 -7.70% 29,599
Burke 3,158 30.18% 3,018 28.84% 1,916 18.31% 2,373 22.68% 140 1.34% 10,465
Butts 2,207 19.01% 4,541 39.12% 3,191 27.49% 1,670 14.39% -2,334 -20.11% 11,609
Calhoun 819 38.09% 510 23.72% 359 16.70% 462 21.49% 140 14.37% 2,150
Camden 2,967 13.12% 6,631 29.32% 5,913 26.14% 7,106 31.42% -7,520 -33.25% 22,617
Candler 778 18.00% 1,555 35.98% 1,251 28.94% 738 17.08% -777 -17.98% 4,322
Carroll 10,688 19.91% 20,167 37.56% 14,221 26.49% 8,611 16.04% -9,479 -17.66% 53,687
Catoosa 6,599 18.38% 13,577 37.82% 8,238 22.95% 7,484 20.85% -6,978 -19.44% 35,898
Charlton 334 7.73% 1,095 25.33% 1,621 37.50% 1,621 29.45% -761 -17.60% 4,323
Chatham 54,637 41.59% 30,435 23.17% 18,455 14.05% 27,842 21.19% 24,202 18.42% 131,369
Chattahoochee 410 26.73% 388 25.29% 372 24.25% 364 23.73% 22 1.43% 1,534
Chattooga 1,129 11.64% 3,858 39.76% 2,883 29.71% 1,833 18.89% -2,729 -28.13% 9,703
Cherokee 27,461 19.31% 57,372 40.33% 34,874 24.52% 22,533 15.84% -29,911 -21.03% 142,240
Clarke 24,636 48.58% 8,050 15.87% 5,807 11.45% 12,221 24.10% 16,586 32.70% 50,714
Clay 474 33.64% 305 21.65% 259 18.38% 371 26.33% 169 11.99% 1,409
Clayton 65,681 59.00% 7,087 6.37% 5,361 4.82% 33,187 29.81% 58,594 52.64% 111,316
Clinch 239 8.85% 1,066 39.48% 742 27.48% 653 24.19% -827 -30.63% 2,700
Cobb 146,081 37.56% 98,534 25.33% 57,863 14.88% 86,488 22.24% 47,547 12.22% 388,966
Coffee 2,455 16.68% 4,324 29.37% 4,853 32.96% 3,090 20.99% -2,398 -16.29% 14,722
Colquitt 2,531 16.04% 6,562 41.58% 4,336 27.47% 2,353 14.91% -4,031 -25.54% 15,782
Columbia 16,245 20.46% 28,606 36.03% 18,299 23.05% 16,255 20.47% -12,361 -15.57% 79,405
Cook 1,085 15.71% 2,703 39.13% -l1,762 25.51% 1,357 19.65% -1,618 -23.43% 6,907
Coweta 16,593 21.94% 28,927 38.24% 18,824 24.89% 11,298 14.94% -12,334 -16.31% 75,642
Crawford 1,172 19.54% 2,281 38.03% 1,771 29.53% 774 12.90% -1,109 -18.49% 5,998
Crisp 1,738 22.04% 2,330 29.55% 2,316 29.37% 1,501 19.04% -592 -7.51% 7,885
Dade 461 6.44% 3,088 43.15% 2,063 28.82% 1,545 21.59% -2,627 -36.71% 7,157
Dawson 1,506 9.48% 5,260 33.13% 7,345 46.26% 1,768 11.13% -5,839 -36.77% 15,879
Decatur 1,738 15.35% 2,980 26.33% 2,991 26.42% 3,610 31.89% -1,242 -10.97% 11,319
DeKalb 226,498 61.69% 34,426 9.38% 20,248 5.51% 85,961 23.41% 192,072 52.32% 367,133
Dodge 1,421 18.31% 2,897 37.33% 2,467 31.79% 975 12.56% -1,476 -19.02% 7,760
Dooly 1,188 29.66% 1,041 25.99% 968 24.17% 808 20.17% 147 3.67% 4,005
Dougherty 17,214 49.36% 5,620 16.11% 4,129 11.84% 7,913 22.69% 11,594 33.24% 34,876
Douglas 29,454 43.04% 14,011 20.47% 9,146 13.36% 15,830 23.13% 15,443 22.56% 68,441
Early 1,005 20.23% 1,133 22.80% 1,314 26.44% 1,517 30.53% -309 -6.22% 4,969
Echols 36 2.61% 558 40.41% 508 36.78% 279 20.20% -447 -32.37% 1,381
Effingham 4,943 15.96% 12,742 41.14% 8,019 25.89% 5,270 17.01% -7,799 -25.18% 30,974
Elbert 1,237 14.35% 1,526 17.70% 4,223 48.98% 1,636 18.97% -2,986 -34.63% 8,622
Emanuel 1,692 18.41% 3,061 33.30% 2,776 30.20% 1,662 18.08% -1,369 -14.89% 9,191
Evans 791 19.07% 1,503 36.24% 1,099 26.50% 754 18.18% -172 -17.17% 4,147
Fannin 1,694 11.63% 3,877 26.61% 7,542 51.76% 1,458 10.01% -5,848 -40.13% 14,571
Fayette 22,840 32.20% 21,759 30.67% 13,916 19.62% 12,427 17.52% 1,081 1.52% 70,942
Floyd 8,151 19.91% 15,417 37.67% 11,097 27.11% 6,265 15.31% -7,266 -17.75% 40,930
Forsyth 23,895 18.82% 44,383 34.95% 35,067 27.61% 23,655 18.63% -20,488 -16.13% 127,000
Franklin 613 5.79% 2,258 21.33% 6,158 58.17% 1,557 14.71% -1,645 -15.54% 10,586
Fulton 263,365 50.88% 83,536 16.14% 48,437 9.36% 122,269 23.62% 179,829 34.74% 517,607
Gilmer 1,897 11.71% 7,711 47.60% 4,908 30.29% 1,685 10.40% -5,814 -35.89% 16,201
Glascock 84 5.60% 819 54.60% 436 29.07% 161 10.73% -735 -49.00% 1,500
Glynn 7,272 17.84% 11,810 28.97% 10,293 25.24% 11,393 27.95% -4,538 -11.13% 40,768
Gordon 2,619 11.16% 9,539 40.64% 7,586 32.32% 3,726 15.88% -6,920 -29.48% 23,470
Grady 1,406 13.52% 2,719 26.14% 3,475 33.41% 2,800 26.92% -2,069 -19.89% 10,400
Greene 2,572 23.12% 3,349 30.11% 3,608 32.44% 1,594 14.33% -1,036 -9.31% 11,123
Gwinnett 142,968 35.50% 88,613 22.00% 57,886 14.37% 113,248 28.12% 54,355 13.50% 402,715
Habersham 2,133 10.60% 5,371 26.69% 10,319 51.28% 2,299 11.43% -8,186 -40.68% 20,122
Hall 14,889 16.64% 21,965 24.54% 39,470 44.10% 13,171 14.72% -24,581 -27.47% 89,495
Hancock 2,129 52.07% 608 14.87% 476 11.64% 876 21.42% 1,521 37.20% 4,089
Haralson 1,200 8.59% 6,533 46.76% 4,488 32.13% 1,749 12.52% -5,333 -38.17% 13,970
Harris 3,776 19.12% 7,090 35.90% 6,438 32.60% 2,446 12.38% -3,314 -16.78% 19,750
Hart 1,302 10.54% 6,665 53.95% 2,080 16.84% 2,307 18.67% -5,363 -43.41% 12,354
Heard 592 11.28% 2,542 48.45% 1,515 28.87% 598 11.40% -1,950 -37.16% 5,247
Henry 49,407 40.67% 26,824 22.08% 16,836 13.86% 28,403 23.38% 22,583 18.59% 121,470
Houston 21,945 29.71% 22,327 30.23% 16,037 21.71% 13,554 18.35% -382 -0.52% 73,863
Irwin 606 14.80% 1,459 35.64% 1,435 35.05% 594 14.51% -853 -20.84% 4,094
Jackson 4,783 12.87% 12,593 33.89% 14,914 40.14% 4,866 13.10% -10,131 -27.27% 37,156
Jasper 1,218 16.16% 3,246 43.07% 2,142 28.42% 931 12.35% -2,028 -26.91% 7,537
Jeff Davis 590 10.54% 1,719 30.72% 1,774 31.70% 1,513 27.04% -1,184 -21.16% 5,596
Jefferson 2,487 33.33% 1,847 24.75% 1,429 19.15% 1,699 22.77% 640 8.58% 7,462
Jenkins 806 23.95% 1,104 32.80% 849 25.22% 607 18.03% -298 -8.85% 3,366
Johnson 763 19.25% 1,376 34.71% 1,243 31.36% 582 14.68% -613 -15.46% 3,964
Jones 3,496 23.71% 5,397 36.60% 3,809 25.83% 2,044 13.86% -1,901 -12.89% 14,746
Lamar 1,994 22.32% 3,243 36.30% 2,585 28.93% 1,112 12.45% -1,249 -13.98% 8,934
Lanier 365 10.64% 1,191 34.70% 944 27.51% 932 27.16% -826 -24.07% 3,432
Laurens 5,334 23.89% 6,592 29.53% 6,762 30.29% 3,637 16.29% -1,428 -6.40% 22,325
Lee 2,970 18.06% 6,365 38.70% 4,675 28.42% 2,437 14.82% -3,395 -20.64% 16,447
Liberty 7,723 36.86% 3,759 17.94% 2,939 14.03% 6,532 31.17% 3,964 18.92% 20,953
Lincoln 803 17.60% 1,725 37.80% 1,246 27.31% 789 17.29% -922 -20.21% 4,563
Long 1,233 22.31% 1,708 30.90% 1,250 22.62% 1,336 24.17% -475 -8.59% 5,527
Lowndes 7,931 17.57% 12,607 27.93% 10,085 22.34% 14,522 32.17% -4,676 -20.21% 45,145
Lumpkin 2,042 13.34% 7,074 46.20% 4,366 28.51% 1,830 11.95% -5,032 -32.86% 15,312
Macon 1,987 43.60% 823 18.06% 810 17.77% 937 20.56% 1,164 25.54% 4,557
Madison 2,284 15.55% 5,756 39.20% 4,808 32.74% 1,836 12.50% -3,472 -23.64% 14,684
Marion 849 23.94% 1,078 30.40% 986 27.81% 633 17.85% -229 -6.46% 3,546
McDuffie 2,387 23.17% 3,503 34.00% 2,260 21.94% 2,152 20.89% -1,116 -10.83% 10,302
McIntosh 1,545 23.80% 2,117 32.61% 1,494 23.01% 1,336 20.58% -572 -8.81% 6,492
Meriwether 3,018 28.19% 3,255 30.40% 2,664 24.88% 1,770 16.53% -237 -2.21% 10,707
Miller 271 10.25% 881 33.33% 883 33.41% 608 23.00% -612 -23.16% 2,781
Mitchell 2,598 29.50% 2,090 23.73% 2,538 28.82% 1,580 17.94% 60 0.68% 8,806
Monroe 3,197 20.83% 6,077 39.60% 4,201 27.38% 1,870 12.19% -2,880 -18.77% 15,345
Montgomery 582 15.16% 1,332 34.71% 1,266 32.99% 658 17.14% -750 -19.54% 3,838
Morgan 2,392 20.67% 4,360 37.68% 3,502 30.27% 1,316 11.37% -1,968 -17.01% 11,570
Murray 765 5.16% 6,300 42.50% 4,793 32.33% 2,965 20.00% -5,535 -37.34% 14,823
Muscogee 32,560 41.03% 15,307 19.29% 12,544 15.81% 18,937 23.87% 17,253 21.74% 79,550
Newton 20,450 38.17% 13,443 25.09% 8,222 15.35% 11,457 21.39% 7,007 13.08% 53,572
Oconee 5,448 21.87% 9,914 39.80% 6,165 24.75% 3,382 13.58% -4,466 -17.93% 25,142
Oglethorpe 1,720 21.58% 2,901 36.40% 2,176 27.30% 1,173 14.72% -1,181 -14.82% 7,970
Paulding 19,118 22.76% 30,597 36.43% 18,444 21.96% 15,827 18.84% -11,479 -13.67% 83,986
Peach 4,032 32.64% 3,358 27.19% 2,629 21.28% 2,333 18.89% 674 5.46% 12,352
Pickens 2,076 12.33% 6,003 35.66% 7,185 42.68% 1,572 9.34% -5,109 -30.35% 16,836
Pierce 478 5.44% 2,821 32.11% 4,034 45.91% 1,453 16.54% -3,556 -40.47% 8,786
Pike 1,118 10.57% 4,965 46.94% 3,532 33.39% 963 9.10% -3,847 -36.37% 10,578
Polk 2,331 13.68% 6,942 40.75% 5,230 30.70% 2,532 14.86% -4,611 -27.07% 17,035
Pulaski 815 20.49% 1,480 37.20% 1,137 28.58% 546 13.72% -665 -16.72% 3,978
Putnam 2,445 20.89% 4,208 35.95% 3,594 30.70% 1,459 12.46% -1,763 -15.06% 11,706
Quitman 283 26.30% 285 26.49% 262 24.35% 246 22.86% -2 -0.19% 1,076
Rabun 1,223 13.03% 2,475 26.37% 4,576 48.75% 1,112 11.85% -3,353 -35.72% 9,386
Randolph 1,179 39.01% 706 23.36% 580 19.19% 557 18.43% 473 15.65% 3,022
Richmond 34,331 40.14% 15,394 18.00% 9,076 10.61% 26,721 31.25% 18,937 22.14% 85,522
Rockdale 21,942 49.63% 7,323 16.56% 4,412 9.98% 10,535 23.83% 14,619 33.07% 44,212
Schley 315 14.16% 774 34.80% 863 38.80% 272 12.23% -459 -20.64% 2,224
Screven 1,685 26.08% 2,078 32.17% 1,475 22.83% 1,222 18.92% -393 -6.08% 6,460
Seminole 419 11.19% 1,021 27.28% 1,263 33.74% 1,040 27.79% -602 -16.08% 3,743
Spalding 8,543 28.75% 9,759 32.84% 6,858 23.08% 4,554 15.33% -1,216 -4.09% 29,714
Stephens 1,144 9.87% 2,126 18.35% 6,652 57.40% 1,666 14.38% -5,508 -47.53% 11,588
Stewart 764 40.10% 390 20.47% 327 9.98% 424 17.17% 374 19.63% 1,905
Sumter 4,474 37.35% 2,553 21.31% 2,735 22.83% 2,216 18.50% 1,739 14.52% 11,978
Talbot 1,531 44.40% 677 19.63% 621 18.01% 619 17.95% 854 24.77% 3,448
Taliaferro 343 38.80% 178 20.14% 150 16.97% 213 24.09% 165 18.66% 884
Tattnall 1,200 15.12% 3,047 38.39% 2,332 29.38% 1,358 17.11% -1,847 -23.27% 7,937
Taylor 962 25.52% 1,173 31.12% 1,050 27.86% 584 15.49% -211 -5.60% 3,769
Telfair 1,003 23.94% 1,187 28.34% 1,293 30.87% 706 16.85% -200 -4.77% 4,189
Terrell 1,508 34.68% 1,058 24.33% 824 18.95% 958 22.03% 450 10.35% 4,348
Thomas 3,809 17.92% 5,725 26.94% 5,759 27.10% 5,960 28.04% -1,950 -9.18% 21,253
Tift 3,284 20.50% 5,603 34.97% 4,473 27.92% 2,663 16.62% -2,319 -14.47% 16,023
Toombs 1,760 16.53% 3,503 32.90% 3,456 32.46% 1,928 18.11% -1,743 -16.37% 10,647
Towns 1,017 12.96% 2,036 25.94% 3,999 50.95% 797 10.15% -2,982 -37.99% 7,849
Treutlen 551 18.56% 965 32.50% 917 30.89% 536 18.05% -414 -13.94% 3,795
Troup 7,472 25.30% 9,163 31.02% 7,383 24.99% 5,520 18.69% -1,691 -5.72% 29,538
Turner 866 23.27% 1,310 35.21% 856 23.00% 689 18.52% -444 -11.93% 3,721
Twiggs 1,508 34.71% 1,271 29.25% 909 20.92% 657 15.12% 237 5.45% 4,345
Union 1,904 12.39% 3,945 25.68% 8,100 52.73% 1,413 9.20% -6,196 -40.33% 15,362
Upson 3,079 24.19% 4,239 33.30% 3,639 28.59% 1,772 13.92% -1,160 -9.11% 12,729
Walker 2,113 7.41% 12,258 43.00% 7,704 27.03% 6,431 22.56% -10,145 -35.59% 28,506
Walton 8,443 16.75% 22,813 45.26% 12,381 24.56% 6,771 13.43% -14,370 -28.51% 50,408
Ware 1,748 12.72% 3,295 23.98% 5,305 38.60% 3,395 24.70% -3,557 -25.88% 13,743
Warren 817 31.61% 631 24.41% 445 17.21% 692 26.77% 186 7.20% 2,585
Washington 3,046 33.10% 2,376 25.82% 1,911 20.77% 1,869 20.31% 670 7.28% 9,202
Wayne 1,660 13.31% 4,791 38.40% 4,015 32.18% 2,010 16.11% -3,131 -25.10% 12,476
Webster 443 32.62% 362 26.66% 324 23.86% 229 16.86% 81 5.96% 1,358
Wheeler 46 20.62% 688 30.84% 694 31.11% 389 17.44% -234 -10.49% 2,231
White 1,604 10.95% 4,033 27.54% 7,571 51.70% 1,436 9.81% -5,967 -40.75% 14,644
Whitfield 3,876 10.90% 12,905 36.30% 9,455 26.60% 9,314 26.20% -9,029 -25.40% 35,550
Wilkes 1,257 25.60% 1,493 30.40% 1,131 23.03% 1,030 20.97% -236 -4.81% 4,911
Wilkinson 1,539 32.80% 1,407 29.99% 1,057 22.53% 689 14.68% 132 2.81% 4,692
Worth 1,589 17.41% 3,541 38.80% 2,774 30.40% 1,222 13.39% -1,952 -21.39% 9,126
Totals 1,617,035 32.90% 1,273,214 25.91% 980,454 19.95% 1,043,658 21.24% 343,821 7.00% 4,914,361

By congressional district

Loeffler won seven out of 14 congressional districts to Warnock's six and Collins's one.[203]

District Warnock Loeffler Collins Elected
Representative
1st 26.97% 27.79% 21.94% Buddy Carter
2nd 37.35% 21.47% 18.89% Sanford Bishop
3rd 25.21% 33.93% 24.2% Drew Ferguson
4th 56.07% 10.97% 6.91% Hank Johnson
5th 63.76% 7.61% 4.35% Nikema Williams
6th 36.27% 27.05% 15.88% Lucy McBath
7th 31.05% 25.34% 17.1% Carolyn Bourdeaux
8th 22.43% 32.57% 25.18% Austin Scott
9th 13.65% 27.58% 45.49% Andrew Clyde
10th 25.83% 33.76% 22.59% Jody Hice
11th 27.19% 33.79% 20.11% Barry Loudermilk
12th 25.69% 28.68% 22.27% Rick W. Allen
13th 52.91% 12.71% 8.12% David Scott
14th 14.3% 39.46% 26.99% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Runoff

The runoff election for Isakson's former seat was on January 5, 2021. The regularly scheduled runoff election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue was also decided in a January 5 runoff, but was defeated by Jon Ossoff also in a close finish. Before the Georgia runoffs in the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48.[204] Warnock declared victory on January 6, 2021.[205] If Democrats won the other Georgia runoff held on January 5, their caucus would gain control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie would be broken by Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris. If they lost the second race, Republicans would retain control.[206] The extremely high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide.[207][208][209] They were the third and fourth Senate runoff elections held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, after runoffs in 1992 and 2008.[210] It was also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932. The Associated Press and other major news outlets called the race for Warnock in the early morning hours of January 6.[211] His win was attributed to heavy black voter turnout.[212]

The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7.[213] Absentee ballots for the runoff were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14.[214][215]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[216] Tossup January 4, 2021
Inside Elections[217] Tossup December 14, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[218] Tossup January 5, 2021

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kelly
Loeffler
Republican 		Raphael
Warnock
Democratic 		Undecided
[ao] 		Margin
270 To Win[219] December 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 4, 2021 47.4% 50.2% 2.4% Warnock +2.8
RealClearPolitics[220] December 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 5, 2021 48.8% 49.3% 1.9% Warnock +0.5
538[221] November 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 5, 2021 47.2% 49.4% 2.2% Warnock +2.1
Average 47.8% 49.6% 2.2% Warnock +1.8
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[222] January 2–4, 2021 1,056 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 48% – 2%
AtlasIntel[223] January 2–4, 2021 857 (LV) ± 3% 47% 51% – 2%
InsiderAdvantage[224] January 3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 49% – 2%
National Research Inc[225] January 2–3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 46% – 9%
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School[226] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4% 49% 48% – 3%
Targoz Market Research[227] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 713 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51% – 0%
1,342 (RV) 48% 49% – 3%
AtlasIntel[228] December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021 1,680 (LV) ± 2% 47% 51% – 2%
Gravis Marketing[229] December 29–30, 2020 1,011 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 49% – 3%
JMC Analytics and Polling[230] December 28–29, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 54% – 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[231] December 23–27, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% – 1%
Open Model Project[232] December 21–27, 2020 1,405 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 46% – 4%
InsiderAdvantage[233] December 21–22, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 49% – 4%
Mellman Group[234] December 18–22, 2020 578 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 50% – 3%
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research[235] December 14–22, 2020 1,027 (LV) ± 4% 42% 43% – 15%
SurveyUSA[236] December 16–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 52% – 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[237] December 14–16, 2020 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% – 2%
Emerson College[238] December 14–16, 2020 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 48% – 1%
InsiderAdvantage[239] December 14, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 48% – 3%
Wick[240] December 10–14, 2020 1,500 (LV) – 50% 48% – 2%
RMG Research[241] December 8–14, 2020 1,417 (LV) ± 2.6% 48% 49% – 4%
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll[242] December 4–11, 2020 1,008 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 48% – 9%
Trafalgar Group (R)[243] December 8–10, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% – 3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[244] November 30 – December 4, 2020 1,250 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 47% – 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[245] December 1–3, 2020 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 45% – 5%
SurveyUSA[246] November 27–30, 2020 583 (LV) ± 5.2% 45% 52% – 2%
RMG Research[247] November 19–24, 2020 1,377 (LV) ± 2.6% 46% 48% – 6%
Data for Progress[248] November 15–20, 2020 1,476 (LV) ± 2.6% 47% 50% – 4%
InsiderAdvantage[249] November 16, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% – 3%
VCreek/AMG (R)[250][ap][N] November 10, 2020 300 (LV) ± 5.6% 50% 46% – 5%
Remington Research Group[251] November 8–9, 2020 1,450 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 48% – 3%
Monmouth University[147] October 23–27, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 51% – –
Civiqs/Daily Kos[148] October 23–26, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 3.4% 37% 51% 9%[aq] 2%
Emerson College[152] October 17–19, 2020 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 47% – 12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[153] October 13–19, 2020 759 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 45% – 14%[l]
Quinnipiac University[155] October 8–12, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 52% 0%[n] 4%
Data for Progress[157] October 8–11, 2020 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 44% – 16%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[161] September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 49% 8%[ar] 4%
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% – 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[180][J] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 43% – 17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 45% 18%[as] 6%
Battleground Connect (R)[252][H] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 41% – 19%
The Progress Campaign (D)[253] March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 38% – 24%
Hypothetical polling

Loeffler vs. Collins

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Doug
Collins 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 28% 34% 37%
Public Policy Polling (D)[254] December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[at] — 16% 56% 27%

Loeffler vs. Lieberman

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress[157] October 8–11, 2020 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 41% – 17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[161] September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 39% 17%[au] 5%
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 39% – 15%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 44% 18%[as] 6%

Loeffler vs. Tarver

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 43% 20%[av] 6%

Collins vs. Lieberman

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Matt
Lieberman (D) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos[161] September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 38% 13%[aw] 5%
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 37% – 16%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 44% 7%[ax] 5%

Collins vs. Tarver

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Ed
Tarver (D) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 8%[ar] 5%

Collins vs. Warnock

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Raphael
Warnock (D) 		Other Undecided
Monmouth University[147] October 23–27, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 52% – –
Civiqs/Daily Kos[148] October 23–26, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 3.3% 42% 51% 5%[ay] 2%
Emerson College[152] October 17–19, 2020 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 48% – 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[153] October 13–19, 2020 759 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 45% – 14%[l]
Quinnipiac University[155] October 8–12, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 54% 0%[n] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[161] September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 49% 4%[ah] 4%
Gravis Marketing (R)[179][I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% – 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[180][J] June 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 43% 41% – 17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[182] May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 45% 6%[az] 5%
The Progress Campaign (D)[255] May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2.0% 43% 41% – 16%[ba]
Battleground Connect (R)[252][H] March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 36% – 15%
The Progress Campaign (D)[253] March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 39% – 20%

Loeffler vs. Broun

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Paul
Broun 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[254] December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[at] — 27% 14% 59%

Collins vs. Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D)[253][1] March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 47% 10%

Loeffler vs. generic opponent

Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Loeffler 		Someone else Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[254] December 12–13, 2019 711 (LV)[at] — 26% 30% 44%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[256] December 8–14, 2020 1,377 (LV) ± 2.6% 46%[bb] 42% 11%[bc]
Quinnipiac University[163] September 23–27, 2020 1,125 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 49% 3%

Results

2021 United States Senate special election in Georgia runoff[257]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Raphael Warnock 2,289,113 51.04% N/A
Republican Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) 2,195,841 48.96% N/A
Total votes 4,484,954 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

By congressional district

Despite losing the statewide runoff, Loeffler won eight of 14 congressional districts.[260]

District Loeffler Warnock Elected
Representative
1st 56% 44% Buddy Carter
2nd 43% 57% Sanford Bishop
3rd 62% 38% Drew Ferguson
4th 19% 81% Hank Johnson
5th 13% 87% Nikema Williams
6th 46% 54% Lucy McBath
7th 46% 54% Carolyn Bourdeaux
8th 62% 38% Austin Scott
9th 77% 23% Andrew Clyde
10th 60% 40% Jody Hice
11th 58% 42% Barry Loudermilk
12th 56% 44% Rick W. Allen
13th 21% 79% David Scott
14th 73% 27% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Republicans filed two federal and one state lawsuit in December to restrict the January 5 vote. On December 17, Judge Eleanor L. Ross found that plaintiffs lacked standing based on possible future harm to toss out a consent decree regarding signatures on absentee ballot applications. Judge James Randal Hall threw out another case that tried to block the use of drop boxes for absentee ballots. A third lawsuit, to restrict the use of drop boxes, was heard in state court on December 24.[261]

On December 18, a federal judge threw out a Republican lawsuit alleging that out-of-state residents were voting in the runoff election, as Republican attorney Bill Price had recommended.[262] Another lawsuit was filed against the use of voting machines manufactured by Dominion Voting Systems, alleging that election officials are handling mail-in absentee ballots improperly and illegally.[263]

Judge Leslie Abrams Gardner, sister of Democratic politician Stacey Abrams, of the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia rejected the attempted purge of 4,000 voters in Muscogee County and Ben Hill County, Georgia, on December 29. The ruling means the voters were able to participate in the January 5 runoff election.[264] The ruling was amended to allow provisional voting to prevent election-day challenges.[265]

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b The American Action Forum is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates.
  2. ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden before this poll's sampling period
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Warnock's campaign.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Matt Lieberman's campaign
  6. ^ This poll's sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  7. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Internal poll for Collins
  9. ^ a b c d e f Poll is sponsored by OANN, a far-right television news channel.
  10. ^ a b c This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling.
  11. ^ Steve Phillips, who sponsored this poll, is a senior fellow at the Democratic-leaning Center for American Progress
  12. ^ Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  13. ^ Internal poll for Loeffler
  14. ^ Americas PAC exclusively supports Republican candidates

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Slowinski (L) with 1%
  3. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  4. ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ a b c d e f "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ Slowinski (L) with 2%
  7. ^ "Other candidate" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%; "No one" with 1%
  8. ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  9. ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  10. ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other Candidate" with 2%
  11. ^ a b Would not vote with 1%
  12. ^ a b c d e Includes "Refused"
  13. ^ Bartell (I), Did not vote, Johnson (R), Johnson-Shealey (D) and "Someone else" with 2%; Dien Winfield (D) with 1%
  14. ^ a b c d "Someone else" with 0%
  15. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 2%
  16. ^ Includes Undecided
  17. ^ Fortuin (G), Johnson-Shealey (D) and Taylor (R) with 1%; Bartell (I), Slade (D) and Stovall (I) with 0%; Buckley (I), Grayson (R), Greene (I), Jackson (R), James (D), Slowinski (L) and Winfield (D) with no voters
  18. ^ Slowinski (L) with 2%; "Other candidate" with 1%
  19. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ^ a b c d e Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  21. ^ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 2%; "Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; "Other Republican Candidate" with 0%
  22. ^ "Other candidate" and Slowinski (L) with 3%; "No one" with 0%
  23. ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  24. ^ Slowinski (L) and "Other" with 2%
  25. ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other candidate" with 1%
  26. ^ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 3%; "Another Third Party/Write-in" and "Other Republican Candidate" with 1%
  27. ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%
  28. ^ Johnson-Shealey (D) with 5%; Bartell (I), Dien Winfield (D) and Johnson (R) with 2%; "One of the other candidates" and would not vote with 1%
  29. ^ Slowinski (L) with 5%; Johnson (R) and would not vote with 4%; "Another candidate/still undecided" with 3%; Winfield (D) with 2%
  30. ^ "TThird-partycandidate" with 1%
  31. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%; Slowinski (L) with 3%
  32. ^ a b "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%
  33. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  34. ^ a b "Someone else" with 4%
  35. ^ All other candidates with 5% or less
  36. ^ "Another candidate who qualified to run but isn't listed" with 2%
  37. ^ Bartell (I) with 2%; Slowinski (L) and "someone else" with 1%
  38. ^ Johnson (R) with 4%; Winfield (D) with 3%; Bartell (I) with 2%; "refused" with 0%
  39. ^ Democratic candidates have 31% of the vote combined
  40. ^ Bartell with 5%; Johnson (R) with 2%
  41. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  42. ^ Archived November 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  43. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  44. ^ a b "Someone else" with 8%
  45. ^ a b "Someone else" with 18%
  46. ^ a b c Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 17%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 20%
  49. ^ "Someone else" with 13%
  50. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  51. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  53. ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
  54. ^ "It is more important for Republicans to have control of the Senate" as opposed to "It is more important for Democrats to have control of the Senate" with 46%
  55. ^ "It does not matter which party has control of the Senate" with 7%; Undecided with 4%

Miscellaneous

  1. ^ In January 2020, Loeffler was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Johnny Isakson, due to ill health.

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