2020 Pennsylvania Attorney General election
November 3, 2020
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Shapiro: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Heidelbaugh: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Pennsylvania |
|---|
| Government |
The Pennsylvania Attorney General election of 2020 was held on November 3, 2020. Primary elections were originally due to take place on April 28, 2020. However, following concerns regarding the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States including Pennsylvania, the primaries were delayed until June 2, 2020.[1] Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Josh Shapiro defeated Republican Heather Heidelbaugh to win a second term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Josh Shapiro, incumbent Pennsylvania Attorney General[2]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Shapiro (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 1,429,414 | 100.0% | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Heather Heidelbaugh, partner, Leech Tishman; former Allegheny County councilwoman (2012–2016)[4]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Heather Heidelbaugh | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 1,055,168 | 100.0% | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Likely D | July 17, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro (D) |
Heather Heidelbaugh (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[6] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± % | 52% | 41% | 5%[b] | 3% |
| Monmouth University[7] | September 28 – October 4, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 38% | 1%[c] | 7% |
| 500 (LV) | 54%[d] | 39% | – | – | |||
| 53%[e] | 40% | – | – | ||||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[8][A] | September 23, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 43% | 5%[f] | 5% |
| CPEC[9] | September 15–17, 2020 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 21% | 1% | 37% |
| Monmouth University[10] | August 28–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 41% | 2%[g] | 7% |
| 400 (LV) | 52%[h] | 41% | 1% | 6% | |||
| 51%[i] | 42% | 1% | 6% |
Endorsements
Josh Shapiro
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005–2007), Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997–2005)[12]
Local Officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[13]
Unions
- Allegheny-Fayette Central Labor Council[14]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign[15]
- Human Rights Campaign[16]
- Mom's Demand Action[17]
- NARAL[18]
- Pennsylvania Democratic Party[19]
Individuals
- Fred Guttenberg, activist[20]
Newspapers and other media
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Shapiro (incumbent) | 3,461,472 | 50.85% | −0.56% | |
| Republican | Heather Heidelbaugh | 3,153,831 | 46.33% | −2.28% | |
| Libertarian | Daniel Wassmer | 120,489 | 1.77% | N/A | |
| Green | Richard L. Weiss | 70,804 | 1.04% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 6,806,596 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Heather Hiedelbaugh Republican |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | |
| Adams | 36,476 | 65.27% | 17,707 | 31.69% | 1,701 | 3.05% |
| Allegheny | 246,537 | 34.58% | 443,523 | 62.21% | 22,855 | 3.21% |
| Armstrong | 24,569 | 68.07% | 10,673 | 29.57% | 851 | 2.33% |
| Beaver | 47,316 | 50.62% | 43,446 | 46.48% | 2,714 | 2.90% |
| Bedford | 22,088 | 80.98% | 4,743 | 17.39% | 446 | 1.63% |
| Berks | 103,359 | 50.95% | 92,774 | 45.73% | 6,725 | 3.31% |
| Blair | 43,933 | 69.58% | 17,511 | 27.73% | 1,694 | 2.69% |
| Bradford | 20,632 | 69.79% | 8,000 | 27.06% | 931 | 3.15% |
| Bucks | 181,596 | 46.32% | 200,335 | 51.10% | 10,142 | 2.59% |
| Butler | 68,477 | 61.06% | 40,708 | 36.30% | 2,959 | 2.63% |
| Cambria | 43,046 | 61.49% | 25,441 | 36.34% | 1,520 | 2.17% |
| Cameron | 1,678 | 69.57% | 673 | 27.90% | 61 | 2.53% |
| Carbon | 19,932 | 60.17% | 12,267 | 37.03% | 927 | 2.80% |
| Centre | 36,006 | 46.88% | 38,198 | 49.74% | 2,598 | 3.39% |
| Chester | 134,649 | 43.10% | 169,452 | 54.24% | 8,335 | 2.67% |
| Clarion | 13,324 | 68.93% | 5,561 | 28.77% | 445 | 2.30% |
| Clearfield | 27,318 | 70.02% | 10,751 | 27.56% | 943 | 2.42% |
| Clinton | 10,950 | 62.68% | 6,075 | 34.77% | 446 | 2.55% |
| Columbia | 18,010 | 58.56% | 11,705 | 38.06% | 1,041 | 3.38% |
| Crawford | 26,766 | 64.70% | 13,344 | 32.25% | 1,261 | 3.05% |
| Cumberland | 76,012 | 54.19% | 60,141 | 42.87% | 4,126 | 2.94% |
| Dauphin | 62,622 | 42.94% | 78,651 | 53.94% | 4,550 | 3.12% |
| Delaware | 120,232 | 37.16% | 196,128 | 60.62% | 7,184 | 2.22% |
| Elk | 11,353 | 67.79% | 4,997 | 29.84% | 398 | 2.38% |
| Erie | 59,664 | 44.54% | 69,548 | 51.91% | 4,757 | 3.55% |
| Fayette | 35,364 | 58.02% | 24,377 | 40.00% | 1,207 | 1.98% |
| Forest | 1,695 | 64.74% | 859 | 32.81% | 64 | 2.44% |
| Franklin | 55,408 | 69.68% | 21,874 | 27.51% | 2,239 | 2.82% |
| Fulton | 6,563 | 83.88% | 1,109 | 14.17% | 152 | 1.94% |
| Greene | 10,563 | 61.18% | 6,227 | 36.07% | 475 | 2.75% |
| Huntingdon | 16,455 | 73.09% | 5,559 | 24.69% | 500 | 2.22% |
| Indiana | 24,809 | 60.76% | 15,013 | 36.77% | 1,006 | 2.47% |
| Jefferson | 17,002 | 74.44% | 5,290 | 23.16% | 547 | 2.39% |
| Juniata | 8,950 | 75.36% | 2,648 | 22.30% | 279 | 2.35% |
| Lackawanna | 43,289 | 38.28% | 66,748 | 59.03% | 3,037 | 2.69% |
| Lancaster | 159,165 | 57.56% | 109,568 | 39.62% | 7,808 | 2.83% |
| Lawrence | 25,399 | 56.08% | 18,735 | 41.36% | 1,149 | 2.56% |
| Lebanon | 44,716 | 63.34% | 23,756 | 33.65% | 2,122 | 3.01% |
| Lehigh | 79,664 | 43.91% | 96,029 | 52.93% | 5,719 | 3.15% |
| Luzerne | 73,051 | 48.60% | 73,325 | 48.79% | 3,921 | 2.61% |
| Lycoming | 39,148 | 66.48% | 18,048 | 30.65% | 1,690 | 2.87% |
| McKean | 13,635 | 71.18% | 4,972 | 25.96% | 548 | 2.87% |
| Mercer | 33,973 | 59.53% | 21,512 | 37.70% | 1,580 | 2.76% |
| Mifflin | 15,846 | 74.73% | 4,866 | 22.95% | 492 | 2.32% |
| Monroe | 35,501 | 43.62% | 43,230 | 53.12% | 2,651 | 3.26% |
| Montgomery | 178,554 | 35.35% | 313,151 | 62.00% | 13,381 | 2.65% |
| Montour | 5,424 | 55.99% | 3,943 | 40.70% | 321 | 3.31% |
| Northampton | 78,082 | 47.09% | 82,853 | 49.97% | 4,864 | 2.93% |
| Northumberland | 26,353 | 63.13% | 14,036 | 33.62% | 1,354 | 3.24% |
| Perry | 17,483 | 71.49% | 6,234 | 25.49% | 739 | 3.02% |
| Philadelphia | 117,140 | 16.53% | 572,158 | 80.72% | 19,537 | 2.75% |
| Pike | 18,578 | 57.83% | 12,503 | 38.92% | 1,045 | 3.25% |
| Potter | 7,055 | 79.00% | 1,667 | 18.67% | 208 | 2.33% |
| Schuylkill | 43,511 | 62.32% | 24,048 | 34.44% | 2,261 | 3.24% |
| Snyder | 13,119 | 69.55% | 5,261 | 27.89% | 482 | 25.5% |
| Somerset | 29,488 | 73.23% | 9,934 | 24.67% | 845 | 2.10% |
| Sullivan | 2,380 | 67.10% | 1,072 | 30.22% | 95 | 2.68% |
| Susquehanna | 14,389 | 67.00% | 6,479 | 30.17% | 608 | 2.83% |
| Tioga | 15,345 | 73.94% | 4,741 | 22.84% | 668 | 3.20% |
| Union | 11,715 | 58.89% | 7,619 | 38.30% | 560 | 2.82% |
| Venango | 16,862 | 64.27% | 8,631 | 32.90% | 744 | 2.83% |
| Warren | 13,425 | 66.52% | 6,044 | 29.95% | 714 | 3.53% |
| Washington | 63,881 | 54.37% | 50,617 | 43.08% | 2,990 | 2.54% |
| Wayne | 17,302 | 62.64% | 9,632 | 34.87% | 687 | 2.49% |
| Westmoreland | 115,208 | 56.60% | 83,550 | 41.05% | 4,799 | 2.36% |
| Wyoming | 9,159 | 62.48% | 5,080 | 34.65% | 421 | 2.87% |
| York | 142,637 | 60.46% | 86,122 | 36.50% | 7,164 | 3.04% |
| Totals | 3,153,831 | 46.33% | 3,461,472 | 50.85% | 191,293 | 2.81% |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Luzerne (largest city: Wilkes-Barre)
By congressional district
Shapiro won ten of 18 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[24]
| District | Shapiro | Heidelbaugh | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 46% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
| 2nd | 71% | 26% | Brendan Boyle |
| 3rd | 89% | 8% | Dwight Evans |
| 4th | 61% | 36% | Madeleine Dean |
| 5th | 63% | 35% | Mary Gay Scanlon |
| 6th | 54% | 43% | Chrissy Houlahan |
| 7th | 52% | 45% | Susan Wild |
| 8th | 52% | 46% | Matt Cartwright |
| 9th | 37% | 60% | Dan Meuser |
| 10th | 47% | 50% | Scott Perry |
| 11th | 37% | 60% | Lloyd Smucker |
| 12th | 32% | 65% | Fred Keller |
| 13th | 28% | 69% | John Joyce |
| 14th | 42% | 56% | Guy Reschenthaler |
| 15th | 31% | 66% | Glenn Thompson |
| 16th | 43% | 54% | Mike Kelly |
| 17th | 54% | 43% | Conor Lamb |
| 18th | 67% | 30% | Mike Doyle |
See also
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Wessmer (L) with 3%; Weiss (G) with 2%
- ^ "No one" with 1%; Wassmer (L) and Weiss (G) with 0%
- ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
- ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
- ^ Wassmer (L) and Weiss (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "No one" and Wassmer (L) with 1%; Weiss (G) with 0%
- ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
Partisan clients
- ^ The American Industry Project has exclusively supported Republican candidates
References
- ^ Levy, Marc; Scolforo, Mark (March 25, 2020). "Pennsylvania lawmakers vote to delay primary election". AP NEWS. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ^ Southwick, Ron. "Josh Shapiro running for re-election as Pa. Attorney General". PennLive. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- ^ a b Boockvar, Kathy. "Pennsylvania Elections - Office Results | Attorney General". Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
- ^ Gerow, Charlie (May 24, 2020). "An introduction to the GOP candidates for statewide offices as primary day approaches | Charlie Gerow". Penn Live.
- ^ "An Updated Look at Handicapping the 2020 Attorney General Elections". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
- ^ Civiqs/Daily Kos
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ CPEC
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
- ^ "PA-AG: Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) Endorses Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) For Re-Election". Daily Kos.
- ^ "Pete Buttigieg endorses 54 Democrats seeking office this November". September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro for Re-Election". HRC. October 5, 2020.
- ^ "Gun Sense Voter". Gun Sense Voter.
- ^ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ "Tribune endorsements for statewide offices". The Philadelphia Tribune. October 27, 2020.
- ^ "Josh Shapiro would continue a track record of integrity as attorney general | Inquirer Endorsement". The Philadelphia Inquirer. October 12, 2020. Archived from the original on October 15, 2020. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election - Statewide". Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
Official campaign websites