2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district
November 3, 2020
Turnout61.16% [1]
 
Nominee Kelly Armstrong Zach Raknerud
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote 245,229 97,970
Percentage 68.96% 27.55%
Armstrong:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Raknerud:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

The incumbent was Republican Kelly Armstrong, who was elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2018.[2] He was re-elected in 2020 and won 5 counties he lost in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) 99,582 99.54%
Republican Write-in 461 0.46%
Total votes 100,043 100.0%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Zach Raknerud

Labor unions

Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Zach Raknerud 21,394 62.03%
Democratic–NPL Roland Riemers 12,747 36.96%
Democratic–NPL Write-in 346 1.00%
Total votes 34,487 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Steven Peterson[9]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven Peterson 729 78.47%
Libertarian Write-in 200 22.36%
Total votes 929 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[14] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[15] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results

North Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2020[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) 245,229 68.96% +8.76%
Democratic–NPL Zach Raknerud 97,970 27.55% −8.02%
Libertarian Steven Peterson 12,024 3.38% N/A
n/a Write-ins 375 0.11% N/A
Total votes 355,598 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

County Kelly Armstrong
Republican 		Zach Raknerud
Democratic–NPL 		All others Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Adams 1,010 80.4% 213 17.0% 33 2.6% 797 63.4% 1,256
Barnes 3,737 68.3% 1,562 28.6% 172 3.2% 2,175 39.7% 5,471
Benson 1,138 58.8% 738 38.2% 58 3.0% 400 20.6% 1,934
Billings 554 87.4% 64 10.1% 16 2.5% 490 77.3% 634
Bottineau 2,646 77.3% 692 20.2% 84 2.5% 1,954 57.1% 3,422
Bowman 1,413 85.9% 195 11.9% 37 2.3% 1,218 74.0% 1,645
Burke 977 86.2% 140 12.3% 17 1.5% 837 73.9% 1,134
Burleigh 36,122 72.4% 12,111 24.3% 1,643 3.3% 24,011 48.1% 49,876
Cass 46,877 55.5% 34,055 40.3% 3,603 4.3% 12,822 15.2% 84,535
Cavalier 1,548 77.7% 400 20.1% 44 2.3% 1,148 57.6% 1,992
Dickey 1,796 74.7% 532 22.1% 77 3.3% 1,264 52.6% 2,405
Divide 913 76.6% 242 20.3% 37 3.1% 671 56.3% 1,192
Dunn 1,948 83.6% 319 13.7% 62 2.7% 1,629 69.9% 2,329
Eddy 874 70.1% 336 27.0% 36 2.9% 538 43.1% 1,246
Emmons 1,736 87.7% 207 10.5% 37 1.9% 1,529 77.2% 1,980
Foster 1,391 79.6% 318 18.2% 38 2.2% 1,073 61.4% 1,747
Golden Valley 871 86.5% 114 11.3% 22 2.2% 757 75.2% 1,007
Grand Forks 18,427 61.0% 10,746 35.6% 1,038 3.5% 7,681 25.4% 30,211
Grant 1,163 84.3% 189 13.7% 27 2.0% 974 70.6% 1,379
Griggs 941 76.7% 260 21.2% 26 2.1% 681 55.5% 1,227
Hettinger 1,126 86.5% 149 11.5% 26 2.0% 977 75.0% 1,301
Kidder 1,217 83.6% 212 14.6% 27 1.9% 1,005 69.0% 1,456
LaMoure 1,695 77.2% 437 19.9% 63 2.8% 1,258 57.3% 2,195
Logan 914 86.6% 113 10.7% 28 2.7% 801 75.9% 1,055
McHenry 2,358 79.1% 554 18.6% 69 2.4% 1,804 60.5% 2,981
McIntosh 1,191 82.4% 220 15.2% 34 2.4% 971 67.2% 1,445
McKenzie 4,395 82.7% 719 13.5% 201 3.8% 3,676 69.2% 5,315
McLean 4,220 77.1% 1,119 20.4% 137 2.5% 3,101 66.7% 5,476
Mercer 3,871 83.5% 668 14.4% 98 2.1% 3,203 69.1% 4,637
Morton 12,382 75.8% 3,375 20.6% 587 3.6% 9,007 55.2% 16,344
Mountrail 2,819 68.8% 1,154 28.2% 125 3.1% 1,665 40.6% 4,098
Nelson 1,195 68.6% 495 28.4% 53 3.1% 1,665 40.2% 4,098
Oliver 906 85.9% 121 11.5% 28 2.7% 785 74.4% 1,055
Pembina 2,518 76.7% 685 20.9% 81 2.4% 1,833 55.8% 3,284
Pierce 1,633 78.0% 411 19.6% 49 2.3% 1,222 57.6% 2,093
Ramsey 3,786 71.1% 1,362 25.6% 175 3.3% 2,424 45.5% 5,323
Ransom 1,492 61.8% 818 33.9% 105 4.3% 674 27.9% 2,415
Renville 1,073 81.8% 194 14.8% 44 3.4% 879 67.0% 1,311
Richland 5,276 68.7% 2,124 27.7% 276 3.6% 3,152 41.0% 7,676
Rolette 1,344 36.0% 2,292 61.3% 102 2.8% -948 -25.3% 3,738
Sargent 1,295 63.9% 674 33.2% 59 2.9% 621 30.7% 2,028
Sheridan 684 85.1% 103 12.8% 17 2.1% 581 72.3% 804
Sioux 294 25.1% 728 62.1% 150 12.8% -434 -37.1% 1,172
Slope 377 89.5% 37 8.8% 7 1.7% 340 80.7% 421
Stark 12,408 83.5% 1,981 13.3% 463 3.1% 10,427 70.2% 14,852
Steele 704 65.6% 344 32.1% 25 2.3% 360 33.5% 1,073
Stutsman 7,005 73.0% 2,252 23.5% 342 3.6% 4,753 49.5% 9,599
Towner 866 75.0% 271 23.5% 18 1.6% 595 51.5% 1,155
Traill 2,709 66.1% 1,275 31.1% 115 2.8% 1,434 35.0% 4,099
Walsh 3,485 74.3% 1,082 23.1% 122 2.6% 2,403 51.2% 4,689
Ward 20,465 73.4% 6,320 22.7% 1,100 3.9% 14,145 50.7% 27,885
Wells 1,910 81.2% 386 16.4% 55 2.3% 1,524 64.8% 2,351
Williams 11,534 82.9% 1,862 13.4% 511 3.6% 9,672 69.5% 13,907
Totals 245,229 69.0% 97,970 27.6% 12,399 3.5% 147,259 41.4% 355,598

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ^ "Voter Turnout Details". North Dakota Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  2. ^ Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. ^ a b c "Statewide Results". North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  4. ^ Dura, Jack (January 27, 2020). "Candidates Emerge in North Dakota's 2020 U.S. House Race". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
  5. ^ Notermann, Jacob (June 1, 2020). "Dem primary heating up". KFYR.
  6. ^ "Labor Endorsed Candidates for November 2020". North Dakota AFL–CIO. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  7. ^ "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved May 30, 2020.
  8. ^ "North Dakota Democrats Endorse 2020 State, Congressional Candidates". The Bismarck Tribune. March 22, 2020. Retrieved March 22, 2020.
  9. ^ "Candidate for Congress Steven Peterson ~ Easing the Need for Foster Care". Prairie Public News. August 12, 2020. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
  10. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  11. ^ "2020 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  12. ^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  14. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  15. ^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  16. ^ "OFFICIAL (WITHOUT RECOUNTS) 2020 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS: Representative in Congress". North Dakota Election Officials. Retrieved November 17, 2020.

Official campaign websites


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