2022 Michigan Attorney General election

2022 Michigan Attorney General election

November 8, 2022
 
Nominee Dana Nessel Matthew DePerno
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,329,195 1,952,408
Percentage 53.16% 44.56%

Nessel:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
DePerno:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      

Attorney General before election

Dana Nessel
Democratic

Elected Attorney General

Dana Nessel
Democratic

The 2022 Michigan Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of the state of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Dana Nessel ran for re-election to a second term. She was first elected in 2018 with 49.0% of the vote.[1]

Michigan does not hold partisan primaries for statewide offices other than governor. Instead, the state parties hold conventions in August to nominate candidates for the general election. Party nomination conventions were held on April 9 for the Michigan Democratic Party and April 23 for the Michigan Republican Party.[2][3][4]

In August 2022, Reuters reported that presumptive Republican nominee Matthew DePerno "led a team that gained unauthorized access to voting equipment while hunting for evidence to support former President Donald Trump’s false election-fraud claims" following the 2020 election. Gaining unauthorized access to voting machines is a felony in Michigan. Current Michigan Attorney General Nessel requested the appointment of an independent specialist prosecutor to investigate DePerno and his team.[5] DePerno and former state representative Daire Rendon were indicted by a grand jury on August 1, 2023.[6] In contrast, during his campaign, DePerno criticized Nessel, as well as Governor Gretchen Whitmer, for their policies during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, and accused Nessel of abusing her powers to silence her political rivals and of attacking the First Amendment, arguing her aforementioned appointing of an independent special prosecutor to investigate DePerno's unauthorized election investigation was one of these attacks.[7]

This election marked the first time since 1998 that Democrats had won consecutively, and the first since 1994 that an incumbent Democrat had won re-election. It was also the best performance by a Democrat since 1998, and the worst performance by a Republican since 2002.

Democratic Party

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Republican Party

Candidates

Nominee

  • Matthew DePerno, private attorney (endorsed by state party)[13]

Eliminated at convention

Endorsements

Matthew DePerno

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Tom Leonard

Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Leans D November 3, 2022
Elections Daily[21] Leans D November 1, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dana
Nessel (D)
Matthew
DePerno (R)
Other Undecided
Cygnal (R)[28] November 1–4, 2022 1,603 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 3%[b] 6%
Mitchell Research[29] November 3, 2022 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 44% 1%[c] 8%
Cygnal (R)[30] October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,754 (LV) ± 2.3% 47% 43% 3%[d] 7%
EPIC-MRA[31] October 28 – November 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 42% 3%[e] 7%
Cygnal (R)[32] October 27–31, 2022 1,584 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 42% 3%[f] 8%
Cygnal (R)[33] October 25–29, 2022 1,543 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 41% 4%[g] 8%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[34] October 26–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 43% 5% 8%
Cygnal (R)[35] October 23–27, 2022 1,822 (LV) ± 2.3% 46% 42% 4%[h] 8%
Cygnal (R)[36] October 21–25, 2022 1,378 (LV) ± 2.6% 46% 43% 4%[i] 7%
Cygnal (R)[37] October 19–23, 2022 1,459 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 43% 3%[j] 8%
Cygnal (R)[38] October 17–21, 2022 1,904 (LV) ± 2.3% 45% 42% 4%[k] 9%
Mitchell Research[39] October 19, 2022 541 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 43% 3%[l] 8%
Cygnal (R)[40] October 15–19, 2022 1,793 (LV) ± 2.3% 45% 43% 4%[m] 9%
Cygnal (R)[41][A] October 12–14, 2022 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 43% 3%[n] 8%
EPIC-MRA[42] October 6–12, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 39% 4%[o] 14%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[43] September 26–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 30% 7%[p] 18%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[44] September 24–28, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 45% 3%[q] 4%
EPIC-MRA[45][B] September 15–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% 13%
EPIC-MRA[46][C] September 7–13, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 40% 7%[r] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[47] August 22–25, 2022 1080 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 47% 4%
EPIC-MRA[48] August 18–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 39% 18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[49] July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 38% 18%
Target Insyght[50] May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 23% 23%
EPIC-MRA[51] May 11–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 41% 16%
ARW Strategies (R)[52][D] April 18–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[53] January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 34% 22%
Hypothetical polling

Dana Nessel vs. Tom Leonard

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dana
Nessel (D)
Tom
Leonard (R)
Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[53] January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 36% 23%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 23, 2022
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Matthew DePerno (R) $1,128,796.58 $823,888.63 $304,907.95
Dana Nessel (D) $5,437,349.35 $5,192,193.84 $166,649.18
Source: Michigan Department of State[54]

Results

2022 Michigan Attorney General election[55]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dana Nessel (incumbent) 2,329,195 53.16% +4.12%
Republican Matthew DePerno 1,952,408 44.56% −1.70%
Libertarian Joseph W. McHugh Jr. 67,846 1.55% −0.55%
Constitution Gerald T. Van Sickle 32,431 0.74% −0.18%
Total votes 4,381,880 100.00%
Democratic hold

By county

County Dana Nessel
Democratic
Matthew DePerno
Republican
Other Votes
% # % # % #
Alcona 32.4% 1,918 65.5% 3,875 2.1% 123
Alger 44.6% 1,897 53.5% 2,277 1.9% 79
Allegan 39.3% 22,170 58.1% 32,770 2.5% 1,432
Alpena 39.4% 5,410 58.3% 8,006 2.3% 321
Antrim 41.2% 5,689 56.7% 7,840 2.1% 294
Arenac 36.2% 2,567 61.0% 4,323 2.8% 196
Baraga 36.5% 1,241 61.4% 2,086 2.1% 72
Barry 37.2% 11,260 59.9% 18,117 2.9% 942
Bay 49.2% 23,807 48.1% 23,279 2.7% 1,284
Benzie 49.02% 5,165 48.99% 5,162 2.0% 210
Berrien 44.0% 27,707 53.5% 33,726 2.5% 1,551
Branch 33.5% 5,325 63.8% 10,148 2.7% 423
Calhoun 46.9% 23,798 50.4% 25,571 2.8% 1,417
Cass 33.8% 6,783 63.9% 12,818 2.3% 463
Charlevoix 44.1% 6,389 53.6% 7,760 2.3% 339
Cheboygan 38.6% 5,073 59.1% 7,778 2.3% 304
Chippewa 41.7% 5,973 55.6% 7,963 2.7% 380
Clare 36.5% 4,753 60.6% 7,900 2.9% 378
Clinton 48.3% 19,477 49.5% 19,942 2.2% 876
Crawford 38.4% 2,468 58.5% 3,760 3.1% 198
Delta 38.6% 6,569 59.3% 10,091 2.1% 364
Dickinson 33.8% 4,000 64.1% 7,580 2.1% 243
Eaton 52.1% 27,398 45.5% 23,944 2.3% 1,234
Emmet 46.5% 8,822 51.3% 9,731 2.2% 421
Genesee 57.1% 96,490 40.5% 68,401 2.4% 3,010
Gladwin 35.4% 4,192 62.0% 7,344 2.7% 316
Gogebic 43.9% 2,781 54.1% 3,425 2.0% 129
Grand Traverse 51.0% 26,316 46.7% 24,105 2.2% 1,141
Gratiot 39.4% 5,938 57.7% 8,704 2.9% 445
Hillsdale 28.2% 5,177 69.0% 12,657 2.8% 519
Houghton 43.9% 6,679 53.9% 8,190 2.2% 329
Huron 34.7% 5,133 62.8% 9,284 2.4% 356
Ingham 67.5% 79,124 30.2% 35,455 2.3% 2,642
Ionia 39.0% 10,387 57.9% 15,417 3.1% 839
Iosco 39.6% 4,950 58.1% 7,263 2.3% 282
Iron 37.9% 2,104 60.0% 3,334 2.1% 117
Isabella 50.9% 11,959 46.5% 10,930 2.6% 616
Jackson 42.9% 27,305 54.5% 34,707 2.6% 1,666
Kalamazoo 60.5% 69,563 37.0% 42,570 2.4% 2,766
Kalkaska 32.6% 2,845 64.2% 5,607 3.2% 283
Kent 53.6% 158,286 42.9% 129,630 2.4% 6,169
Keweenaw 45.6% 624 52.2% 713 2.2% 30
Lake 38.1% 1,979 58.9% 3,057 3.0% 156
Lapeer 35.1% 15,127 62.3% 26,807 2.6% 1,109
Leelanau 54.1% 8,267 44.0% 6,725 1.8% 277
Lenawee 39.9% 16,740 57.3% 24,059 2.8% 1,177
Livingston 41.6% 44,275 56.1% 59,722 2.3% 2,455
Luce 31.2% 723 66.6% 1,542 2.2% 52
Mackinac 40.7% 2,397 57.2% 3,369 2.1% 121
Macomb 50.4% 189,717 47.4% 178,240 2.2% 8,205
Manistee 45.5% 5,683 51.6% 6,436 2.9% 359
Marquette 58.5% 18,029 39.5% 12,179 2.0% 630
Mason 41.7% 6,108 55.6% 8,133 2.7% 396
Mecosta 37.5% 6,487 59.5% 10,297 3.0% 526
Menominee 33.6% 3,189 64.0% 6,070 2.4% 229
Midland 45.5% 18,434 51.9% 21,006 2.6% 1,063
Missaukee 25.2% 1,857 72.1% 5,324 2.7% 199
Monroe 40.9% 27,471 56.7% 38,104 2.5% 1,773
Montcalm 35.7% 9,230 61.2% 15,841 3.1% 802
Montmorency 30.8% 1,560 66.6% 3,376 2.6% 134
Muskegon 52.8% 38,113 44.4% 32,017 2.8% 2,023
Newaygo 32.4% 7,297 64.2% 14,442 3.4% 759
Oakland 59.6% 368,737 38.5% 238,077 1.9% 11,610
Oceana 38.8% 4,618 57.6% 6,853 3.7% 436
Ogemaw 34.6% 3,353 63.1% 6,112 2.3% 224
Ontonagon 38.2% 1,225 59.2% 1,898 2.6% 82
Osceola 29.2% 2,997 67.6% 6,925 3.2% 327
Oscoda 31.4% 1,240 66.0% 2,604 2.5% 100
Otsego 36.6% 4,512 60.7% 7,482 2.7% 339
Ottawa 39.6% 57,068 58.1% 83,787 2.3% 3,280
Presque Isle 40.0% 2,884 57.9% 4,176 2.2% 157
Roscommon 38.4% 4,880 59.0% 7,506 2.7% 338
Saginaw 51.8% 41,468 45.9% 36,784 2.3% 1,851
Sanilac 31.0% 5,733 66.2% 12,217 2.8% 516
Schoolcraft 37.3% 1,426 60.0% 2,292 2.7% 102
Shiawassee 44.0% 14,032 53.3% 16,989 2.8% 879
St. Clair 39.0% 28,445 58.0% 42,219 3.0% 2,179
St. Joseph 36.0% 7,768 60.9% 13,117 3.1% 664
Tuscola 33.7% 7,981 63.6% 15,071 2.7% 650
Van Buren 46.9% 14,739 50.4% 15,850 2.7% 860
Washtenaw 74.4% 132,494 23.9% 42,545 1.7% 2,954
Wayne 69.5% 440,029 28.4% 179,822 2.0% 12,844
Wexford 36.0% 5,371 61.4% 9,153 2.6% 394
Totals 53.16% 2,329,195 44.56% 1,952,408 2.29% 100,277

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Nessel won eight of 13 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[56]

District Nessel DePerno Representative
1st 43% 55% Jack Bergman
2nd 39% 58% John Moolenaar
3rd 55% 43% Peter Meijer (117th Congress)
Hillary Scholten (118th Congress)
4th 48% 49% Bill Huizenga
5th 39% 58% Tim Walberg
6th 65% 33% Debbie Dingell
7th 53% 45% Elissa Slotkin
8th 54% 44% Dan Kildee
9th 39% 58% Lisa McClain
10th 54% 44% John James
11th 63% 35% Haley Stevens
12th 74% 24% Rashida Tlaib
13th 75% 22% Shri Thanedar

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  3. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  4. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  5. ^ McHugh (L) with 2%; Van Sickle (UTP) with 1%
  6. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  7. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  8. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  9. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  10. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  11. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  12. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
  13. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  14. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  15. ^ McHugh (L) with 2%; Van Sickle (UTP) with 1%
  16. ^ McHuge with 4%; "Refused to answer" and Sickle with 2%; Hogan
  17. ^ "Other" with 3%
  18. ^ "Third party candidate" with 7%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters
  2. ^ Poll conducted for WJRT-TV and the Detroit Free Press.
  3. ^ Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by DePerno's campaign

References

  1. ^ "2018 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/06/2018".
  2. ^ "2022 Election Dates Booklet" (PDF). Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  3. ^ Mauger, Craig (August 16, 2021). "Michigan GOP sets early convention, declines vote by hand count". The Detroit News. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  4. ^ a b White, Rose (April 9, 2022). "Jocelyn Benson, Dana Nessel, others snag endorsements from the Michigan Democratic Party". www.mlive.com. Retrieved April 13, 2022.
  5. ^ Layne, Nathan (August 8, 2022). "Exclusive: Trump-backed Michigan attorney general candidate involved in voting-system breach, documents show". Reuters. Retrieved August 8, 2022.
  6. ^ Jordyn Hermani; Simon Schuster (August 1, 2023). "DePerno, Rendon charged for role in Michigan tabulator probe". MLive.
  7. ^ "Matthew DePerno for Attorney General". November 4, 2022. Archived from the original on November 4, 2022. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
  8. ^ "Prominent 2020 Election Critic Announces Run for Michigan AG". The State AG Report. July 22, 2021.
  9. ^ "Democracy for America : Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  10. ^ "Giffords Endorses Five Gun Safety Champion Attorneys General". Giffords. May 13, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  11. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Reproductive Freedom Champions for Attorney General in Colorado, Michigan, and Wisconsin" (25 January 2022). www.prochoiceamerica.org. NARAL Pro-Choice America. January 25, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
  12. ^ Sutton, Dana (January 25, 2022). "AFT Michigan Endorses Whitmer, Benson and Nessel in 2022 Midterms". AFT Michigan. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
  13. ^ Burns, Gus (July 15, 2021). "Attorney accused of pushing false election fraud claims wants to be Michigan's next attorney general". mlive.com.
  14. ^ Mauger, Craig (August 11, 2021). "Michigan Rep. Ryan Berman announces campaign for attorney general". The Detroit News.
  15. ^ "Former GOP House Speaker Tom Leonard to make second bid for state attorney general". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
  16. ^ LaBlanc, Beth; Mauger, Craig (September 16, 2021). "Trump endorses election challenger DePerno for Michigan attorney general". The Detroit News.
  17. ^ Mauger, Craig (April 23, 2022). "AFT DePerno wins GOP attorney general race after runoff; Karamo wins SOS endorsement". The Detroit News. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  18. ^ "The MFCR is proud to endorse Tom Leonard for Michigan Attorney General because he has what it takes to defeat Dana Nessel in November".
  19. ^ Mauger, Craig (December 13, 2021). "Right to Life issues early endorsement for Michigan attorney general". The Detroit News. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  20. ^ "Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  21. ^ Solomon, Zack (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Secretary of State Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  22. ^ "Pete Buttigieg 1-on-1 talks about his support for Gov Whitmer on campaign trial". November 4, 2022.
  23. ^ "Obama rallies with Michigan Dems, boosting Whitmer and mocking Dixon". October 29, 2022.
  24. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. August 26, 2022. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  25. ^ Saccone, Mike (July 12, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Whitmer, Nessel, Benson for Re-Election". National Wildlife Federation.
  26. ^ "Here are all Detroit Free Press endorsements for 2022 general election". Detroit Free Press. October 19, 2022. Archived from the original on October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  27. ^ "From the Daily: Endorsements for the 2022 Michigan midterms". November 2022.
  28. ^ Cygnal (R)
  29. ^ Mitchell Research
  30. ^ Cygnal (R)
  31. ^ EPIC-MRA
  32. ^ Cygnal (R)
  33. ^ Cygnal (R)
  34. ^ The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  35. ^ Cygnal (R)
  36. ^ Cygnal (R)
  37. ^ Cygnal (R)
  38. ^ Cygnal (R)
  39. ^ Mitchell Research
  40. ^ Cygnal (R)
  41. ^ Cygnal (R)
  42. ^ EPIC-MRA
  43. ^ The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  44. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  45. ^ EPIC-MRA
  46. ^ EPIC-MRA
  47. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  48. ^ EPIC-MRA
  49. ^ The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  50. ^ Target Insyght
  51. ^ EPIC-MRA
  52. ^ ARW Strategies (R)
  53. ^ a b The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  54. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  55. ^ "2022 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Election Results.
  56. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved November 5, 2024.