2026 Liberal Party of Australia leadership spill

2026 Liberal Party of Australia
leadership spill

13 February 2026
Leadership election

51 caucus members of the Liberal Party
26 caucus votes needed to win
 
Candidate Angus Taylor Sussan Ley
Caucus vote 34 17
Percentage 66.7% 33.3%
Seat Hume (NSW) Farrer (NSW)
Faction National Right[1] Moderate[1]

Leader before election

Sussan Ley

Elected Leader

Angus Taylor

Deputy leadership election
 
Candidate Jane Hume Ted O'Brien
First ballot[2] 20 16
Second ballot 21 18
Final ballot 30 20
Seat Victoria (Senate) Fairfax (Qld)
Faction Moderate[1] Moderate[1]

 
Candidate Dan Tehan Melissa Price
First ballot[2] 13 2
Second ballot 11 Eliminated
Final ballot Eliminated Eliminated
Seat Wannon (Vic) Durack (WA)
Faction National Right[1] Moderate[1]

Deputy Leader before election

Ted O'Brien

Elected Deputy Leader

Jane Hume

A leadership spill was held on 13 February 2026 to elect the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia, and by virtue, the leader of the Opposition. Angus Taylor was elected, defeating incumbent leader Sussan Ley. A spill for the deputy leadership was held concurrently, with Jane Hume being elected.

Taylor, a leading member of the National Right party faction, resigned from Ley's shadow cabinet on 11 February, following his declaration that Ley was not "in a position to lead the party as it needs to be led". The spill motion was subsequently launched by Jess Collins and Phillip Thompson.[a] Taylor announced his candidacy for the leadership on the morning of 12 February.

Following the spill, Ley resigned from Parliament, triggering a by-election in her former electorate of Farrer.[3]

Background

Since its defeat at the 2025 federal election, the Liberal–National Coalition's primary vote has fallen to 18%, below One Nation (at 28%).[4] The Coalition's poor polling, along with two splits from the National Party, has amplified tensions between the Moderates and National Right factions, particularly on policy regarding immigration and climate change.[5] For Liberal leaders who have not won an election, only 50% of the party room must vote against them, compared to two-thirds of the party room if they have won an election.[6][7]

2025 leadership election

Following Peter Dutton's defeat at the 2025 election, Ley was appointed as the acting leader of the Liberal Party, until a leadership election could be held.[8]

The election was contested by Ley and Taylor, with Ley winning, 29 votes to Taylor's 25.[9]

Hastie and Taylor leadership challenge speculation

On 3 October 2025, Andrew Hastie resigned from his position of Shadow Minister for Home Affairs. In a statement, Hastie cited a disagreement regarding the Coalition's immigration strategy and stated that leader Sussan Ley deserved to lead "unencumbered by interventions from Shadow Cabinet colleagues."[10]

Following a period of leadership speculation in early 2026, Hastie and Shadow Minister for Defence Angus Taylor met privately in Melbourne on 28 January 2026. The meeting took place against the backdrop of the memorial service for former Liberal MP Katie Allen, which both attended the following day at St Paul's Cathedral.[11][12] Two days later, on 30 January, Hastie issued a statement ruling himself out of a potential leadership contest, conceding that he did not have the necessary support to become leader.[13]

In response to the mounting pressure, Sussan Ley adopted a strategy similar to that used by Malcolm Turnbull during the 2018 leadership crisis. Ley declared that she would not voluntarily call a party room meeting for a spill unless presented with a formal petition signed by a majority of the federal parliamentary party. By demanding that challengers "write their names" on a physical document, Ley aimed to force internal critics to publicly declare their opposition.[14]

On 11 February 2026, Angus Taylor resigned from the shadow frontbench. In a press conference outside Parliament House, Taylor announced his intention to challenge for the leadership, stating, "I don't believe Sussan Ley is in a position to be able to lead the party as it needs to be led."[15] His resignation triggered the spill motion scheduled for 13 February.

The spill (13 February 2026)

At approximately 9 am, the meeting for the leadership spill was held. By 9:30 am, Ley had lost leadership. Taylor was elected leader a few minutes later.[16]

Coalition splits

2025 split

The first Coalition split occurred on 20 May 2025, following its landslide defeat at the 2025 election. David Littleproud, the leader of the National Party had policy disagreements with Ley, particularly on nuclear power, the Regional Australia Future fund, and giving divestiture powers to supermarkets.[17]

Littleproud argued that because the National Party had largely maintained their seat count while the Liberal Party suffered heavy losses, the junior partner had a mandate to shape Coalition policy. Ley refused to commit to the demands without a formal review, leading the National Party to sit separately on the crossbench.[18] The parties reunited on 27 May 2025 after a compromise deal was reached; this split lasted around 8 days until the new Coalition agreement was formed.

2026 split

The second split happened in January 2026, after Nationals frontbenchers Bridget McKenzie, Susan McDonald, and Ross Cadell crossed the floor to vote against the Hate Speech laws following the 2025 Bondi Beach shooting, contrary to the Coalition's official position. As a response, Ley accepted the resignations of these frontbenchers, which led to Littleproud leaving the Coalition agreement "in solidarity with his frontbenchers". The Coalition reformed on 8 February following the failed leadership spill motion in the National Party room on 2 February. [19][20] This split lasted for 18 days after both parties signed a new "solidarity agreement" to codify that the joint party room has priority over individual party room decisions.[21]

Timeline

  • 13 May 2025: Sussan Ley is elected leader of the Liberal Party, defeating Angus Taylor 29 votes to 25. She becomes the first woman to lead the party following the Coalition's defeat at the 2025 federal election.[22]
  • 20 May 2025: Leader of the Nationals David Littleproud announces the National Party will not enter a formal Coalition agreement after negotiations with Ley break down over nuclear energy and regional funding "guarantees".[23]
  • 27 May 2025: The Coalition reforms after one week of separation, following a compromise deal on policy review processes and shadow cabinet structures.[24]
  • 3 October 2025: Andrew Hastie resigns from his role as Shadow Minister for Home Affairs, citing policy disagreements over immigration.[10]
  • 21 January 2026: Nationals senators Bridget McKenzie, Susan McDonald, and Ross Cadell cross the floor against Labor's hate speech laws. After Ley accepts their resignations, the entire Nationals frontbench quits in protest.[25]
  • 28–29 January 2026: Angus Taylor and Andrew Hastie meet privately in Melbourne to discuss avoiding a split conservative vote in a leadership challenge.[26]
  • 30 January 2026: Following the Melbourne meetings and a week of speculation, Hastie rules himself out of challenging Ley for the leadership and said he lacked the necessary support.[27]
  • 8 February 2026: Ley and Littleproud broker a peace deal in Canberra, involving a temporary frontbench suspension for the "rogue" senators and a new solidarity agreement.[28]
  • 11 February 2026: Angus Taylor formally quits the shadow frontbench, declaring the party is in its "worst position" since 1944 and confirming his challenge to Ley's leadership.[29]
  • 12 February 2026: The leadership spill is confirmed to be held on 13 February after Jessica Collins and Phillip Thompson after formally delivered a letter to Sussan Ley’s office requesting a special party room meeting to move a spill motion. Following the delivery, Thompson resigned from his position as Shadow Assistant Minister for Defence. Throughout the day, multiple members of the shadow frontbench stepped down to support the challenge, including Leah Blyth, Michaelia Cash, Claire Chandler, Jonathon Duniam, James McGrath, Matt O'Sullivan and James Paterson.[30]
  • 13 February 2026: The leadership spill is held, with Taylor emerging as the Leader of the Liberal party, with 34 votes against Leys 17. This cultivated in Ley announcing her resignation from parliament "in the coming weeks". Deputy Ted O'Brien also was deposed after a 4-way contest, with the final result determining Senator Jane Hume becoming deputy with 30 votes, compared to O'Brien's 20.[31]

Candidates

Leader

Declared

Candidate Electorate Faction Portfolio(s)
  Sussan Ley[32] Farrer (NSW) Moderate[1]
  Angus Taylor[33] Hume (NSW) National Right

Speculated

Candidate Electorate Faction Portfolio(s)
  Tim Wilson[30] Goldstein (Vic) Moderate[1]
  • Shadow Minister for Industrial Relations and Employment (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Minister for Small Business (2025–2026)

Declined

Deputy leader

Declared

Candidate Electorate Faction Portfolio(s)
  Ted O'Brien[35] Fairfax (Qld) Moderate[1]
  • Deputy Leader of the Opposition (2025–2026)
  • Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Treasurer (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Minister for Climate Change and Energy (2022–2025)
  Jane Hume[35] Victoria
(Senate)
Moderate[1]
  • Shadow Minister for Finance (2022–2025)
  • Shadow Special Minister of State (2022–2025)
  • Shadow Minister for the Public Service (2022–2025)
  Dan Tehan[35] Wannon (Vic) National Right[36]
  • Shadow Minister for Energy and Emissions Reduction (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Minister for Immigration and Citizenship (2022–2025)
  Melissa Price[30] Durack (WA) Moderate/Centre Right[1]
  • Shadow Minister for Defence Industry (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Minister for Defence Personnel (2025–2026)

Speculated

Candidate Electorate Faction Portfolio(s)
  Melissa McIntosh[37] Lindsay (NSW) Centre Right[1]
  • Shadow Minister for Communications (2025–2026)
  • Shadow Minister for Women (2025–present)
  Zoe McKenzie[34] Flinders (Vic) Unaligned
  • Shadow Cabinet Secretary (2025–present)
  • Shadow Assistant Minister for Education and Early Learning (2025–2026)

Declined

Endorsements

Several Liberal politicians made public endorsements before the spill motion.

Leader

Sussan Ley

List of Sussan Ley endorsements

Federal Liberal members

Angus Taylor

Deputy Leader

Jane Hume

List of Jane Hume endorsements

Federal Liberal members

Results

Leader

Caucus vote
Ballot → 13 February 2026
Required majority → 26 out of 51 Y
Angus Taylor Y
34 / 51
Sussan Ley
17 / 51
Source[47][48]

Deputy Leader

Caucus vote
Ballot → 13 February 2026
Required majority → 26 out of 51 N 26 out of 51 N 26 out of 51 Y
Jane Hume Y
20 / 51
21 / 51
30 / 51
Ted O'Brien
16 / 51
18 / 51
20 / 51
Dan Tehan
13 / 51
11 / 51
Eliminated
Melissa Price
2 / 51
Eliminated Eliminated
Informal votes
0 / 51
1 / 51
1 / 51
Sources[49][50][51]

Polling

Date Firm Sample
size
Preferred Liberal leader
Ley Hastie McIntosh T. O'Brien Price Spender[b] Taylor Tehan Wilson Other Don't know
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[52] 1,717 (all) 19% 13% N/a 3% N/a N/a 10% N/a 4% N/a 52%
(ONP) 10% 26% N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a N/a N/a
13 Feb 2026 Liberal party room vote 33.3% 66.7%
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[53] 1,561 (all) 10% 15% 2% 2% N/a N/a 8% N/a 3% N/a 60%
300 (L/NP) 12% 25% 2% 3% N/a N/a 11% N/a 2% N/a 45%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[54] 1,020 (all) 14% 8% N/a N/a 11% 2% 5% N/a 5% 10% 45%
244 (L/NP) 21% 17% N/a N/a 12% 7% 9% N/a 3% 5% 26%
17–20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[55] 1,245 (all) 21% 15% N/a 3% N/a N/a 9% N/a 6% N/a 46%
300 (L/NP) 28% 20% N/a 2% N/a N/a 12% N/a 7% N/a 31%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[56][57] 1,041 (all) 13% 10% N/a N/a 10% 4% 7% N/a 3% 16% 42%
236 (L/NP) 22% 20% N/a N/a 13% 4% 9% N/a 4% 5% 24%
13 May 2025 Liberal party room vote 53.7% 46.3%
7–11 May 2025 Essential[58] 1,137 (all) 16% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% 7% N/a 20% 45%
341 (L/NP) 20% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 23% 6% N/a 12% 39%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ For leadership spills to be held in the Liberal Party, two members of the caucus must move to spill the leadership.
  2. ^ Not a member of the party


References

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