Serowe West

Serowe West
Single-member constituency
for the National Assembly
DistrictCentral
Population29,739
Major settlementsSerowe
Area15,955 km2
Current constituency
Created2004
Party  BPF
Created fromBoteti
Serowe North
Serowe South
MPOnalepelo Kedikilwe
Margin of victory4,151 (41.2 pp)

Serowe West is a constituency in the Central District represented by Onalepelo Kedikilwe, a BPF MP in the National Assembly of Botswana since 2023.

Constituency profile

Serowe West lies in the Central District and is primarily rural, with the main settlement being the village of Serowe. The constituency is part of the three historically safe BDP seats that flipped to the BPF and had an average swing of 76.7pp towards the BPF.[1] This shift was attributed to the fact that the BaNgwato tribe, of which the Khama family is the royal family, resides in the Serowe area. Prior to Ian Khama's departure from the BDP, the constituency consistently voted for the party by significant margins. However, following the fallout between Ian Khama and President Mokgweetsi Masisi, Khama encouraged people in the Serowe region to vote for the newly formed BPF and this message strongly resonated with the locals. His brother, Tshekedi Khama held onto the seat at the 2019 general election under the BPF banner, the first time the constituency returned a non-BDP MP.[2]

Serowe West was the constituency of Botswana's fourth President, Ian Khama, from 2004 until his ascension to the presidency in 2008 as sitting presidents cannot simultaneously be an elected member of the National Assembly since a constitutional amendment in place since 1974. The constituency was named Serowe North West from its inaugural election in 2004 until the 2014 where it has since kept its current name. The constituency has the following localities:[3]

  1. Parts of Serowe
  2. Malatswai
  3. Mmashoro
  4. Dimajwe

Members of Parliament

Key:   BDP   BPF

Election Winner
2004 election Ian Khama
2008 by-election Tshekedi Khama
2009 election
2014 election
2019 election
2023 by-election Onalepelo Kedikilwe
2024 election

Election results

2024 election

General election 2024: Serowe West[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BPF Onalepelo Kedikilwe 6,555 65.24 +9.87
BDP Foster Seretse 2,414 24.03 −6.28
BCP Sebusiso Ngwenya 864 8.60 N/A
BRP Chimbidzani Chimidza 214 2.13 N/A
Margin of victory 4,151 41.21 +16.15
Total valid votes 10,047 99.06 +2.18
Rejected ballots 95 0.94 −2.18
Turnout 10,142 79.21 −1.52
Registered electors 12,804
BPF hold Swing +8.08

2023 by-election

By-election 2023: Serowe West[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BPF Onalepelo Kedikilwe 2,933 66.90 +11.53
BDP Moemedi Dijeng 1,266 28.88 −1.43
BCP Sebusiso Ngwenya 103 2.35 N/A
Independent Kefilwe Koboto 82 1.87 N/A
Margin of victory 1,667 38.02 +12.96
Turnout 4,422 ~44.99 ~−35.74
BPF hold Swing +6.48

2019 election

General election 2019: Serowe West[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BPF Tshekedi Khama 4,394 55.37 N/A
BDP Moemedi Dijeng 2,405 30.31 −48.26
UDC Rolent Gambule 749 9.44 −4.35
AP Leremela Bogosing 387 4.88 N/A
Margin of victory 1,989 25.06 N/A
Total valid votes 7,935 96.88 −1.86
Rejected ballots 256 3.12 +1.86
Turnout 7,935 80.73 −1.13
Registered electors 9,829
BPF hold Swing +51.82

2014 election

General election 2014: Serowe West[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
BDP Tshekedi Khama 5,401 78.57 −5.20
UDC Rolent Gambule 948 13.79 −2.44
BCP Kalvin Seabe 431 6.27 N/A
Independent Keitereng Kebosenke 94 1.37 N/A
Margin of victory 4,453 64.78 −2.76
Total valid votes 6,874 98.74 +0.67
Rejected ballots 88 1.26 −0.67
Turnout 6,962 81.86 +6.99
Registered electors 8,505
BDP hold Swing −1.38

Note: UDC vote share is compared to the vote share of the BNF in 2009.

2009 election

General election 2009: Serowe North West[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Tshekedi Khama 5,031 83.77
BNF Gagolepe Nthebolang 975 16.23
Margin of victory 4,056 67.54
Total valid votes 6,006 98.07
Rejected ballots 118 1.93
Turnout 6,124 74.87
Registered electors 8,179
BDP hold

2008 by-election

By-election 2008: Serowe North West[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Tshekedi Khama 1,869 94.01
BNF Gagolepe Nthebolang 119 5.99
Margin of victory 1,750 88.02
Total valid votes 1,988 N/A
Turnout 1,988 ~32.10
Registered electors ~6,194
BDP hold

2004 election

General election 2004: Serowe North West[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
BDP Ian Khama Walkover N/A
Margin of victory N/A N/A
Registered electors 6,194
BDP notional hold

References

  1. ^ Seabo, Batlang; Nyenhuis, Robert (2021-11-23). "Botswana's 2019 General Elections: A Referendum on General Ian Khama". African Studies Review. 64 (4): 854–883. doi:10.1017/asr.2021.69. ISSN 0002-0206. S2CID 244539238.
  2. ^ Basimanebotlhe, Tsaone (2022-10-10). "Serowe constituencies vulnerable as BPF rumpus continues". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 2023-06-16.
  3. ^ 2022 DELIMITATION COMMISSION REPORT (PDF). 2022. p. 46.
  4. ^ "Kedikilwe MP for Serowe West". DailyNews. 31 October 2024.
  5. ^ "BREAKING NEWS Onalepelo Kedikilwe of BPF WINS SEROWE WEST BY ELECTIONS". Facebook. 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
  6. ^ Report to the Minister for Presidential Affairs, Governance and Public Administration on the 2019 General Elections (PDF). Independent Electoral Commission (IEC). 2020.
  7. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2014
  8. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2009
  9. ^ Johannes, Siki Motshwari; Gabathuse, Ryder (24 June 2008). "Complacency - the cancer vexing the BDP". Mmegi.
  10. ^ Independent Electoral Commission - Botswana National Assembly, 2004