Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency
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Karol Nawrocki was elected to the office of President of Poland in the 2025 presidential election,[1] and inaugurated on 6 August 2025.[2] Throughout Nawrocki's presidency, several polling agencies conducted opinion polls researching support for issues regarding his time in office.
Approval polls
Approval rating
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–18 Mar 2026 | SW Research / Wprost | 811 | 39.1 | 38.6 | 18.1 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| 5–16 Feb 2026 | CBOS | 967 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 11 | |
| 9–14 Feb 2026 | OGB | 1,000 | 48.82 | 36.36 | 14.82 | 12.46 | |
| 10–11 Feb 2026 | SW Research / Zero.pl | 823 | 44.4 | 41.6 | 14.0 | 2.8 | |
| 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl[a] | 1,000 | 51.1 | 46.1 | 2.8 | 5.0 | |
| 28 Jan 2026 | SW Research / Onet[b] | 800 | 41.8 | 41.4 | 16.8 | 0.4 | |
| 8–20 Jan 2026 | CBOS | 938 | 50 | 39 | 12 | 11 | |
| 12–19 Jan 2026 | OGB | 1,000 | 50.6 | 37.4 | 12.1 | 13.2 | |
| 31 Dec 2025–1 Jan 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl"[c] | 1,002 | 55 | 45 | 10 | ||
| 9–15 Dec 2025 | OGB | 1,000 | 51.8 | 34.2 | 14.0 | 17.6 | |
| 5–9 Dec 2025 | Ipsos / Radio ZET[d] | 1,000 | 38 | 38 | 21 | 3 | Tie |
| 27 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | CBOS | 948 | 51 | 34 | 15 | 17 | |
| 25–28 Nov 2025 | OGB | 1,000 | 49.7 | 34.8 | 15.5 | 14.9 | |
| 25–26 Nov 2025 | UCE Research / Onet | 1,021 | 46.8 | 30.1 | 23.1 | 16.7 | |
| 15–17 Nov 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,003 | 49 | 39 | 12 | 10 | |
| 6–17 Nov 2025 | CBOS | 992 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 17 | |
| 14–16 Nov 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 57.5 | 35.4 | 7.1 | 22.1 | |
| 13–14 Nov 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,050 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 16 | |
| 7–8 Nov 2025 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,067 | 55.8 | 30.8 | 13.4 | 25.0 | |
| 22–24 Oct 2025 | Opinia24 / Polityka | 1,001 | 53 | 26 | 21 | 27 | |
| 8–13 Oct 2025 | OGB | 1,000 | 46.3 | 30.8 | 22.9 | 15.5 | |
| 2–13 Oct 2025 | CBOS | 901 | 51 | 26 | 23 | 25 | |
| 11–22 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 969 | 54 | 26 | 20 | 28 | |
| 19–20 Sep 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 51.6 | 38.0 | 10.4 | 13.6 | |
| 13–15 Sep 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 57.5 | 32.9 | 9.6 | 24.6 | |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | OGB | 1,000 | 47.5 | 33.2 | 19.3 | 14.3 | |
| 2–3 Sep 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 830 | 42.9 | 32.2 | 24.9 | 10.7 | |
| 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 45.2 | 44.8 | 10.0 | 0.4 | |
| 21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 917 | 44 | 30 | 26 | 14 | |
| 6–13 Aug 2025 | OGB | 1,000 | 41.7 | 32.7 | 25.6 | 9.0 |
Will Nawrocki be a good president?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Good | Decent | Bad | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 917 | 53 | 33 | 14 | 20 | |
| 29–30 Jul 2025 | SW Research / Rz | 800 | 33.8 | 27.0 | 29.6 | 9.6 | 4.2 |
Will Nawrocki be/is Nawrocki a better president than Andrzej Duda?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Yes | No | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26–27 Jan 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,010 | 31 | 22 | 47[e] | 9 |
| 21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 917 | 49 | 27 | 24 | 22 |
| 13–16 Aug 2025 | IBRiS / WP.pl | 1,000 | 47.1 | 25.2 | 26.7 | 21.9 |
Other approval-related polls
A Pollster poll for Super Express conducted on 9–11 August 2025 found that 41% of Poles approved of Nawrocki's first decisions as president while 30% disapproved.[3]
An IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 showed the 4th largest amount of respondents — 10.5% — ranked Nawrocki as the most effective politician, with him falling behind Donald Tusk (PO) — 28.1%, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) — 23.5% and Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) — 11.3%.[4]
An SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 2–3 September 2025 asked to assign a school grade for Nawrocki's performance after a month of his presidency. From 1 (worst) to 6 (best), 21.9% of respondents gave Nawrocki a 1, 2 — 13.3% , 3 — 9.3%, 4 — 16.4%, 5 — 15.5%, 6 — 13.1%, with 10.5% undecided.[5]
An Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 17–20 October 2025 placed Nawrocki as the first most liked politician with 28% of respondents ranking him as their favorite, ahead of Rafał Trzaskowski (14%) and Donald Tusk (12%) and 8 others.[6]
Trust rating
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Trust | Distrust | Indifferent | Don't know/Neutral | Net trust | Place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–21 Feb 2026 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 48.8 | 42.8 | 8.0 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 1st |
| 5–16 Feb 2026 | CBOS | 967 | 52 | 35 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 1st |
| 20–21 Jan 2026 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 47.7 | 45.9 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1st |
| 8–20 Jan 2026 | CBOS | 938 | 52 | 35 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 1st |
| 19–20 Dec 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 49.3 | 41.7 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 1st |
| 27 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | CBOS | 948 | 54 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 1st |
| 21–22 Nov 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 51.8 | 41.9 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 9.9 | 1st |
| 6–17 Nov 2025 | CBOS | 992 | 54 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 1st |
| 24–25 Oct 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 47.0 | 38.6 | 12.9 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 1st |
| 2–12 Oct 2025 | CBOS | 901 | 57 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 1st |
| 11–22 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 969 | 58 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 33 | 1st |
| 19–20 Sep 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 48.8 | 40.6 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 1st |
| 21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 917 | 52 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 21 | 1st |
| 20–21 Aug 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 41.3 | 48.0 | 10.3 | 0.4 | –6.7 | 2nd |
| 25–27 Jul 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 46.8 | 46.2 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1st |
| 3–13 Jul 2025 | CBOS | 970 | 48 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 2nd |
| 23–24 Jun 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 41.9 | 46.3 | 11.4 | 0.4 | –4.4 | 2nd |
| 5–15 Jun 2025 | CBOS | 971 | 46 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 3rd |
Legislative proposals and other initiatives
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Poll subject | Question | Yes or Approve |
No or Disapprove |
Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–15 Mar 2026 | UCE Research / Onet | 1,004 | Presidential veto | How do you rate president Karol Nawrocki's decision to veto the law regarding the SAFE program? | 34.46 | 40.34 | 25.20 | –5.88 | |
| 13–15 Mar 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Presidential veto | President Karol Nawrocki vetoed the law introducing the EU debt program for defence and security (the so-called SAFE program). How do you rate the president's decision? | 40.1 | 51.9 | 8.1 | –11.8 | |
| 13–15 Mar 2026 | IBRiS / Polsat News | 1,000 | Presidential veto | How do you rate Nawrocki's decision to veto the law regarding the SAFE program? | 33.8 | 56.9 | –23.1 | ||
| 13–14 Mar 2026 | IBRiS / Radio ZET | 1,068 | Presidential veto | Is president Karol Nawrocki's opposition to the EU SAFE loan consistent with the interests of Poland? | 38.0 | 52.5 | 9.5 | –14.5 | |
| 11–12 Mar 2026 | Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 | 1,002 | Coalition proposal | Should the President sign the law regarding the SAFE program? | 53 | 25 | 22 | 28 | |
| 10–11 Mar 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,013 | Coalition proposal | Should the President sign the law implementing the European SAFE program? | 48 | 30 | 22 | 18 | |
| 9 Mar 2026 | IBRiS | 1,000 | Coalition proposal | Should president Karol Nawrocki sign the law regarding the accession of Poland into the SAFE program? | 54 | 42 | 4 | 12 | |
| 3–4 Mar 2026 | SW Research / Rz | 800 | Presidential veto | If the president vetoes the law implementing the SAFE program, how would that impact your perception of his presidency? | 19.5[f] | 36.1[g] | 26.6[h] | 17.7 | –16.6 |
| 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Coalition proposal | The law regarding the SAFE program will soon reach Karol Nawrocki's desk ... Should he sign this law? | 54.6 | 30.8 | 14.6 | 23.8 | |
| 25–26 Feb 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 988 | Coalition proposal | Do you believe president Karol Nawrocki should sign the law regarding the SAFE program? | 63 | 37 | 26 | ||
| 25 Feb 2026 | SW Research / Onet | 800 | Presidential veto | Do you believe president Karol Nawrocki should veto the SAFE program? | 34.6 | 38.2 | 27.1 | –3.6 | |
| 19–20 Feb 2026 | IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info | 1,000 | Coalition proposal | Should president Karol Nawrocki sign the SAFE program into law? | 38 | 27 | 35 | 11 | |
| 17–18 Feb 2026 | SW Research / Zero.pl | 800 | Coalition proposal | What should president Karol Nawrocki do with the law regarding the SAFE program? (sign into law/veto/send to Constitutional Tribunal) | 31.0[i] | 20.4[j] | 15.3[k] | 33.3 | 10.6 |
| 13–14 Feb 2026 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,068 | Coalition proposal | Should president Karol Nawrocki sign the act letting Poland join the SAFE program? | 58.4 | 29.8 | 11.8 | 28.6 | |
| 16–17 Jan 2026 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,067 | Presidential proposal | After vetoing the "chaining law" (Law prohibiting chaining up dogs), President Karol Nawrocki submitted his own draft law on the matter. Should the Sejm begin work on the president's submitted draft law in this regard? | 69.8 | 16.1 | 14.0 | 53.7 | |
| 13–14 Jan 2026 | SW Research / Rz | 800 | Presidential veto | Do you think that president Karol Nawrocki was right to veto the bill adopting EU's Digital Services Act into Polish law? | 31.0 | 30.6 | 38.4[l] | 0.4 | |
| 6–7 Jan 2026 | SW Research / Rz | 800 | Coalition proposal | Do you believe president Karol Nawrocki should sign the close person status law? | 47.4 | 14.8 | 37.8[m] | 32.6 | |
| 9–10 Dec 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 813 | Presidential veto | Do you support the veto of Karol Nawrocki regarding the so-called chaining law? (Law prohibiting chaining up dogs) | 37.4 | 38.7 | 23.8 | –1.3 | |
| 5–8 Dec 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Presidential veto | President Karol Nawrocki decided to veto the so-called chaining law, which would completely prohibit keeping dogs chained up. Do you support the president's decision to block these changes? | 35.8 | 61.3 | 2.9 | –25.5 | |
| 6–7 Dec 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,008 | Presidential veto | (How do you rate the presidential veto regarding the law prohibiting chaining up dogs?)[n] | 44 | 56 | –12 | ||
| 3–5 Nov 2025 | CBOS / DGP | 1,000 | Coalition proposal | (Do you support same-sex civil unions?)[n] | 62.1[o] | 35.1 | 2.7 | 27.0 | |
| 28–29 Oct 2025 | IPSOS / TVP Info | 1,000 | Coalition proposal | Should Karol Nawrocki sign the law about close person status, prepared by The Left and the Polish People's Party? | 47 | 25 | 28 | 22 | |
| 9–10 Sep 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 828 | Presidential initiative | Do you support the efforts of president Karol Nawrocki in attaining World War II reparations from Germany? | 54.0 | 26.8 | 19.2 | 27.2 | |
| 2–3 Sep 2025 | SW Research / Wprost | 830 | Presidential initiative | (Should Poland seek World War II reparations from Germany?)[n] | 55.2 | 25.4 | 19.4 | 29.4 | |
| 26–27 Aug 2025 | SW Research / Wprost | 814 | Presidential veto | How do you rate the presidential veto regarding the wind turbine bill? | 38.6 | 38.2 | 23.2 | 0.4 | |
| 26–27 Aug 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 814 | Presidential veto | Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the law about aiding the citizens of Ukraine? | 59.8 | 25.4 | 14.7 | 34.4 | |
| SW Research / Onet | Presidential veto | Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the wind turbine law, despite it including a provision regarding freezing energy prices? | 36.4 | 39.1 | 24.6 | –2.7 | |||
| 13–14 Aug 2025 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,067 | Coalition proposal | Should the president sign the law liberalizing the rules of investing in wind turbines, which simultaneously extends the price freeze period on energy for households until the end of the year? | 55.8 | 33.9 | 10.3 | 21.9 | |
| IBRiS / Rz | Presidential proposal | Do you agree with the proposition of president Karol Nawrocki, that a parent with two children, whose annual income does not cross 140,000 PLN, should not pay income tax? | 47.5 | 47.9 | 4.6 | –0.4 |
Welfare for Ukrainian refugees
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Only Ukrainians working in Poland |
All Ukrainians |
No Ukrainians |
Neither/ Other option |
Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–22 Sep 2025 | CBOS | 969 | Do you believe that currently, [Ukrainians] should have access to [free 800+ and healthcare?] | 58 | 8 | 25[p] | ||
| 2–3 Sep 2025 | SW Research / Wprost | 830 | Should 800+ only be given to only Ukrainians which work in Poland? | 56.4 | 18.0 | 19.6 | 6.0 | |
| 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,000 | Should Ukrainians living in Poland receive 800+ for children? | 54 | 11 | 29 | 6 | |
| 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | [should] Payouts of benefits for foreigners such as 800+ in Poland, including Ukrainians, be dedicated to only those that are employed[?] | 69.9 | 21.8 | 8.3 |
Other legislative proposal-related polls
An SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 26–27 August 2025 found that if an energy price freeze period extension failed to pass before its expiration, 31.8% would blame Nawrocki for energy price rises, 31.6% would blame Tusk's government and 26.8% would blame both.[7]
Judicial affairs
An SW Research poll for Onet conducted on 4–5 November 2025 found that 45.9% of respondents believed that the president should have the right to pardon, and 35.9% believed otherwise.[8] In an UCE Research poll for Onet conducted on 4–6 February 2026 asking the same question, 57.4% of Poles believed that the president of Poland should have the right to pardon, whereas 26.0% believed otherwise.[9]
An Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–14 November 2025 found that 39% of Poles believed that the president has a deciding role in the process of judicial nominations, whereas 36% believed otherwise.[10]
In November 2025, Nawrocki rejected the nomination of 46 judges. In an SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita (12–13 Nov), 30.9% respondents also agreed with Nawrocki's decision, and 39.4% disagreed.[11] In an Ariadna poll for Wirtualna Polska (13–14 Nov), 37% agreed and 35% disagreed.[10] In a United Surveys poll also for Wirtualna Polska (14–16 Nov), 38.0% agreed while 42.5% disagreed.[12] In a Pollster poll (15–17 Nov), 35% agreed and 40% disagreed.[13]
A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 14–16 November 2025 found that 84.6% of Poles believed that Nawrocki and prime Minister Donald Tusk should seek an agreement in the matter of judicial reforms as soon as possible, whereas 5.6% believed otherwise.[14] A similar poll by SW Research for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 24–25 February 2026 found that 70.9% of respondents believed that Nawrocki, the government and the opposition should find a compromise solution to the judicial crisis in Poland, with 7.3% disagreeing.[15]
Foreign policy
Foreign policy approval rating
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Approve | Disapprove | Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–28 Jan 2026 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,000 | How do you rate Karol Nawrocki's actions on the international arena? | 54.4 | 37.5 | 8.2 | 16.9 | |
| 25–26 Nov 2025 | UCE Research / Onet | 1,021 | Do you believe Karol Nawrocki represents Poland well on the international arena? | 55.5 | 32.3 | 12.2 | 23.2 |
Who should be responsible for contacts with the Trump administration?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | President Karol Nawrocki | MFA Radosław Sikorski | PM Donald Tusk | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29–30 Aug 2025 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,069 | 49.8 | — | 32.2 | 18.0 | 17.6 |
| 20–21 Aug 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 37.9 | 39.6 | 9.8 | 12.7 | 1.7 |
Whose actions in foreign affairs bring Poland more benefits?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | President Karol Nawrocki | Government | Both | Neither | Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–10 Sep 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,067 | 31.4 | 27.9 | 16.1 | 11.3 | 13.2 |
Other foreign policy-related polls
According to an SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 19–20 August 2025, 24.9% of respondents believed Nawrocki and his chancellery to be responsible for the lack of a Polish delegation at the August 2025 European-White House crisis meeting, 23.7% found Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his government responsible, 25.5% found both sides responsible, 11.2% found noone responsible and 14.7% had no opinion.[16]
A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 10–13 October 2025 showed that 27.4% of Poles believed Nawrocki will have good relations with the president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while 56.3% believed they will not.[17] Another United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 14–16 November 2025 showed that 51.6% of Poles wanted Zelenskyy to have his first visit with Nawrocki in Poland, whereas 8.8% wanted their first meeting to take place in Ukraine. 16.2% had no preference and 11.1% believed no visit between the two to be necessary.[18]
An IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita found that 87.1% of Poles agreed that president Nawrocki and prime minister Tusk should cooperate in regards to foreign policy, whereas 6.7% disagreed.[19]
An SW Research poll for Wprost conducted on 27–28 January 2026 regarding the presidential non-approval of ambassadors nominated by the Tusk cabinet found that 36.4% of respondents blamed the impasse on Nawrocki, 24.8% on foreign minister Sikorski and 19.7% found both sides responsible.[20]
A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 27 February–1 March 2026 asking who best defends Poland's interests on the international stage showed Nawrocki selected by 38.8% of respondents, Radosław Sikorski with 26.9% and Tusk with 16.3%, whereas 13.4% believed none adequately defended Poland's interests abroad.[21]
Constitutional reform
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Issue | For | Against | Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–24 Oct 2025 | Opinia24 / Polityka | 1,001 | Empowering presidency | 31 | 55[q] | 14 |
| 1–3 Sep 2025 | Opinia24 | 1,003 | Empowering presidency | 30 | 52[r] | 18 |
| 29–30 Aug 2025 | IBRiS / Rz | 1,069 | Empowering presidency | 39.5 | 50.5 | 10 |
Polls regarding the First Lady
First Lady approval polling
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–18 Feb 2026 | SW Research / Wprost | 800 | 49.9 | 27.2 | 22.9 | 22.7 |
| 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 55.2 | 14.9 | 29.9 | 40.3 |
| 31 Dec 2025–1 Jan 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,002 | 44 | 20 | 36 | 24 |
| 13–14 Nov 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,050 | 54 | 15 | 31 | 39 |
| 17–20 Oct 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,088 | 47 | 16 | 37 | 31 |
| 11–12 Oct 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,002 | 46 | 16 | 38 | 30 |
First Lady comparisons
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Marta Nawrocka | Agata Kornhauser-Duda | Anna Komorowska | Maria Kaczyńska | Jolanta Kwaśniewska | Danuta Wałęsa | Don't know/Neutral/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | SW Research / Onet | 800 | Which First Lady do you rate the best? | 16.7 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 10.6 | 45.3 | 4.2 | 15.7 |
| 31 Dec 2025–1 Jan 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,002 | Which First Lady do you believe served their role better? | 27 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 66[s] |
| 9–10 Dec 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 813 | How is Marta Nawrocka doing as First Lady compared to Agata Kornhauser-Duda? | 40.0 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | 50.9[t] |
| 13–14 Nov 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,050 | Who best served as the best First Lady of the Poland? | 18 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 4 | |
| 17–20 Oct 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,088 | Do you believe that Marta Nawrocka is a better First Lady than Agata Kornhauser-Duda? | 37 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 51 |
| 13–16 Aug 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Who do you rate as the best First Lady of the Third Polish Republic? | 5.3 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 17.5 | 57.8 | 0.6 | 10.7 |
Other First Lady-related polls
An IBRiS poll for Radio Zet conducted on 24–25 October 2025 found that 52.8% of Poles believed that the First Lady should receive a monthly wage, while 33.9% believed otherwise.[22]
Veto power
What do you believe drives Nawrocki's vetoes?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Citizens' interest, merit, etc. | Political interest, obsturctionism, etc. | Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–15 Feb 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | President Karol Nawrocki recently vetoed several laws. Which of the following opinions best reflects your views on this topic? | 37.8 | 47.5 | 14.7 |
| 16–18 Jan 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Taking into account the last vetoes by Karol Nawrocki, what do you believe he was driven by? | 36.7 | 56.9 | 6.4 |
| 5–8 Dec 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | How do you rate Karol Nawrocki's usage of vetoes against the government's laws? They come mainly from... | 46.7 | 50.0 | 3.3 |
Veto frequency
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Too frequently/Overusage | Frequently enough/Correct usage | Too infrequently/Underusage | Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–18 Mar 2026 | SW Sesearch / Rz | 800 | How do you rate president Karol Nawrocki's usage of veto power? | 46.9 | 33.4 | 5.1 | 14.6 |
| 23–26 Feb 2026 | CBOS | 1,000 | Do you believe president Karol Nawrocki uses veto power (too frequently/frequently enough/too infrequently) | 38 | 38 | 16 | 8 |
| 9–10 Dec 2026 | SW Sesearch / Rz | 800 | How do you rate president Karol Nawrocki's usage of veto power? | 44.1 | 39.6 | 3.4 | 12.9 |
Other polls
Will Nawrocki be/is Nawrocki an independent president?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Yes | No | Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25–26 Nov 2025 | UCE Research / Onet | 1,021 | 38.9 | 46.3 | 14.8 | 7.4 | |
| 13–14 Nov 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,050 | 32 | 46 | 22 | 14 | |
| 9–10 Sep 2025 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,067 | 38.0 | 52.6 | 9.4 | 14.6 | |
| 13–16 Aug 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 38.8 | 57.6 | 3.6 | 18.8 | |
| 9–11 Aug 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,006 | 34 | 54 | 12 | 20 | |
| 4–6 Aug 2025 | Opinia24 / RMF FM | 1,003 | 28 | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
Political leadership comparison
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Karol Nawrocki | Jarosław Kaczyński | Neither/Other option | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025–1 Jan 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,002 | Who is the leader of the Polish right? | 41 | 41 | 18[u] | Tie | |
| 16–17 Dec 2025 | SW Research / Rz | 800 | Who do you believe is currently the leader of the Polish right? | 28.9 | 19.0 | 22.4[v] | 29.5 | 9.9 |
| 15–17 Nov 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,003 | Do you believe that Karol Nawrocki has a chance to become the main leader of the Polish right? | 58 | 42 | 16 | ||
| 22–24 Oct 2025 | Opinia24 / Polityka | 1,001 | Do you believe that Karol Nawrocki will replace Jarosław Kaczyński as the leader of the entire Polish right? | 21 | 50 | 29 | 29 | |
| 9–10 Sep 2025 | SW Research / Onet | 828 | Who do you believe is the true leader of the Law and Justice camp today? | 22.6 | 50.8 | 12.7 | 13.9 | 28.2 |
Matchups between Nawrocki and Tusk
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | President Karol Nawrocki | PM Donald Tusk | Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23–26 Feb 2026 | CBOS | 1,000 | Who do you trust more to represent the interests of the country? | 41 | 29[w] | 29[x] | 1 | 12 |
| 13–15 Feb 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Who in the current situation better serves in their office and cares for Polish interest? | 44.6 | 41.3 | 10.9[y] | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 2–4 Jan 2026 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Taking into account their activities so far, who do you rate higher in their function — prime minister Donald Tusk or president Karol Nawrocki? | 42.3 | 42.0 | 12.8[z] | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 21–23 Nov 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Which of these politicians do you trust more? | 40.6 | 35.3 | 18.2 | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| 24–26 Oct 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Who is a better politician — Karol Nawrocki or Donald Tusk? | 44.9 | 49.4 | 5.7 | 4.5 | |
| 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,000 | Who is winning the political battle between the president and prime minister? | 42 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 20 |
Relations between Nawrocki and Tusk
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question | Good or Yes or Approve | Bad or No or Disapprove | Don't know/Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25–26 Feb 2026 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 988 | How do you rate the cooperation between President and Prime Minister? | 12 | 77 | 11 |
| 23–26 Feb 2026 | CBOS | 1,000 | How do you rate the cooperation between president Karol Nawrocki and the government so far? | 28 | 63 | 9 |
| Dec 2025 | Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 | 1,000 | There is an ongoing dispute between Donald Tusk and Karol Nawrocki. Do you believe this dispute is good or bad for Poland? | 16 | 72 | 12 |
| 19–21 Dec 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | How do you assess the relations between the Tusk's government and Karol Nawrocki in the coming year? | 10.6 | 84.8 | 4.6 |
| 7–11 Dec 2025 | IBRiS / Polsat News | 1,000 | Cooperation between the Prime Minister and President is (good/bad)? | 1.1 | 92.5 | 6.4 |
| 5–8 Dec 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | Do you believe that the conflict between Tusk and Nawrocki leads to a paralysis of the state and make it impossible to introduce necessary reforms? | 76 | 18.9 | 5.1 |
| 13–14 Nov 2025 | Ariadna / WP.pl | 1,050 | How do you rate the cooperation between Nawrocki and Tusk? | 19 | 56 | 25 |
| 11–12 Oct 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,002 | How do you rate the cooperation between Nawrocki and Tusk? | 20 | 80 |
Should the Prime Minister consult legislation with Nawrocki?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Yes | No | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–17 Nov 2025 | Pollster / "SE.pl" | 1,003 | 60 | 30 | 10 | 30 |
| 22–24 Oct 2025 | Opinia24 / Polityka | 1,001 | 58 | 25 | 17 | 33 |
Other ungrouped polls
A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 found that 37.5% of Poles believed Nawrocki would fulfill his electoral campaign promises, while 50.7% believed otherwise.[23]
An Opinia24 poll for RMF FM conducted on 1–3 September 2025 found that 23% of Poles believed Donald Tusk should stand down in the conflict between the president and government, 21% believed Nawrocki should stand down, and 38% believed both should compromise.[24]
An SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 14–15 October 2025 found that 51.6% of Poles believed that Nawrocki could help relations between Law and Justice and Confederation, and 22.4% believed he could not.[25]
An IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 10–11 October 2025 found 33.2% of Poles (14.7% strongly, 18.5% rather) believed there should be a "presidential" political party under the patronage of Nawrocki, and 45.0% believed otherwise.[26]
An Opinia24 poll for Polityka conducted on 24–26 October 2025 found that 7% believed Nawrocki will end the political conflict in Poland, 14% believed he will lighten the conflict, 31% believed there will be no changes and 25% believed he will intensify the conflict.[27]
An SW Research poll for Onet conducted on 12–13 November 2025 found that 48.8% of Poles rated Nawrocki's appearance at the 2025 Independence March positively, while 30.7% rated it negatively.[28]
An IBRiS poll for Onet conducted on 5–6 December 2025 found that 47.9% of respondents believed Nawrocki was sufficiently engaged in matters important to Poles, while 46.1% believed otherwise.[29]
An IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 9–12 December 2025 found that 51.0% of Poles supported Nawrocki's decision to remove the Round Table from the Presidential Palace, whereas 30.8% opposed it.[30]
An SW Research poll for Onet conducted on 16–17 December 2025 found that 57.4% of Poles believed that Nawrocki should support the Great Orchestra of Christmas Charity and 18.3% believed he should not.[31]
An Opinia24 poll for TVN 24 released on 23 December 2025 found that 32% of respodnents blamed Donald Tusk for the dispute between the Prime Minister and President, 30% blamed Nawrocki and 28% blamed both equally.[32]
Politician of the year
A Pollster poll for Super Express conducted on 6–7 December 2025 found that 44% of respondents ranked Nawrocki as the "biggest political winner" of 2025, ahead of Donald Tusk with 12% and Radosław Sikorski with 6%. Nawrocki's presidential election opponent, Rafał Trzaskowski, was ranked as the year's "biggest political loser", with 37% ranking him as such (ahead of Zbigniew Ziobro with 20% and Szymon Hołownia with 19%).[33]
A CBOS poll conducted on 27 November – 8 December 2025 found that 16% of respondents ranked Nawrocki as the "politician of the year", ahead of Donald Tusk and Radosław Sikorski (both with 8%).[34]
A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 19–21 December 2025 asking who Poles considered the Person of the Year in Poland found that 26.6% of respondents ranked Nawrocki as Person of the Year, ahead of tennis player Iga Świątek (11.6%), astronaut Sławosz Uznański (11.0%) and Donald Tusk (9.3%).[35] The same poll showed most respondents ranked him as the most influential politician of the year, with 34.7% ranking him as such, ahead of Tusk (29.1%) and Kaczyński (9.9%).[36]
An SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 30–31 December 2025 found that 37.8% of respondents ranked Nawrocki as the biggest political winner of 2025, ahead of Donald Tusk (8.8%) and Radosław Sikorski (7.8%).[37]
Election matchups
First round
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki Ind. (PiS) |
Trzaskowski KO |
Mentzen KWiN |
Braun KKP |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Zandberg Razem |
Biejat NL |
Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS | 30–31 Jan 2026 | 1,067 | 39.6 | 27.4 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 3.2[aa] | 5.0 | 12.2 |
| 2025 presidential election[38] | Election result | 19,603,784 | 29.54 | 31.36 | 14.81 | 6.34 | 4.99 | 4.86 | 4.23 | 3.87[aa] | 1.82 |
Second round
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki Ind. (PiS) |
Trzaskowski KO |
Don't know | Abstain | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 15–17 Nov 2025 | 1,003 | 50.06 | 49.94 | 0.12 | ||
| Opinia24 / Polityka | 22–24 Oct 2025 | 1,001 | 40 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 2025 presidential election[39] | Election result | 20,844,163 | 50.89 | 49.11 | 1.78 |
Do you believe Nawrocki will be re-elected in 2030?
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Yes | No | Don't know/Neutral | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–16 Nov 2025 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 43.8 | 33.7 | 22.5 | 10.1 |
See also
Notes
- ^ Question wording: "How do you rate Karol Nawrocki after half a year as president of Poland?"
- ^ Question wording: "Does Karol Nawrocki fulfill your expectations as president of Poland?"
- ^ Question wording: "How do you rate half a year of Karol Nawrocki as president?"
- ^ Question wording: "How do you rate Karol Nawrocki as a politician?"
- ^ 11 — Don't know, 36 — the same
- ^ My rating of his presidency would improve
- ^ My rating of his presidency would worsen
- ^ My rating of presidency would not change
- ^ sign into law
- ^ veto
- ^ send to Constitutional Tribunal
- ^ 19.6 — no opinion, 18.8 — don't know this law
- ^ 17.1 — no opinion, 20.7 — don't know this law
- ^ a b c Question wording unknown
- ^ 31.5 — with lesser rights than married couples, 30.6 — with the same rights as married couples
- ^ Only refugees
- ^ 39 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency
- ^ 36 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency
- ^ 28 — Don't know, 38 — the same
- ^ 21.4 — Don't know, 29.5 — the same
- ^ 2 — Other, 9 — Grzegorz Braun, 7 — Sławomir Mentzen
- ^ 2.4 — Other, 9.1 — Sławomir Mentzen, 6.2 — Grzegorz Braun, 4.7 — Krzysztof Bosak
- ^ government
- ^ 17 — Neither of them, 12 — Both equally well
- ^ 6.7 — Neither of them, 4.2 — Both do equally well
- ^ 8.9 — Rate both badly, 3.9 — Rate both well
- ^ a b Sum results of all other candidates participating in the 2025 Polish presidential election
References
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- ^ Tomasik, Michał; Żelazińska, Aleksandra (6 August 2025). "Karol Nawrocki zaprzysiężony, przejął zwierzchnictwo nad armią. Tusk: Kaczyński się nie cieszył". Polityka. Retrieved 2025-08-26.
- ^ Brzozowski, Adam (22 August 2025). "Polacy ocenili pierwsze decyzje prezydenta Nawrockiego. Wynik jest jednoznaczny". Super Express. Retrieved 2025-08-26.
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